The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +2

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% -3

Disapprove 54% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

[J. J.]

So I guess it was a bad sample for the last few days.

I disapprove, I am really disappointed (to say the least) at his response to this oil spill.

No, it is not a bad (or skewed) sample.  Any sample drops off after three days.  This started clearly on 5/17 and is still there.  Also Obama's disapproval numbers did not go up too much on Rasmussen.  This is back to the erosion of the base.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44% -1

Disapprove 55% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, u.


There is erosion in the base.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44% -1

Disapprove 55% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, u.


There is erosion in the base.

It's the oil spill.  When that blows over in the media it will come back up a little bit.  As of right now, it doesn't seem like calling the spill "Obama's Katrina" (as retarded as it is) is helping him at all. 

And Rasmussen is probably a little more to the right, so I'd put his approval probably around 47-48. 

Not really.  Obama's strongly approve numbers were lower prior to Obamacare.  They "spiked" then pulled back a bit.  It really has only been in the last ten days or so that there has been this erosion.  I think the oil spill started 35 days ago, and for the first 20 or so days, those numbers didn't decline.

Now, the oil spill hasn't helped, but it doesn't directly look like the cause.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 42% -2

Disapprove 56% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, +1.


The erosion of the base is obviously there.  It is too early to tell, but there might be erosion in his other numbers as well.

Three things to note:

1.  Obama's disapproval numbers are tied for his highest number.

2.  Obama's "Approve" numbers are now lower than his "Strongly Disapprove" numbers.

3.  This could very easily a skewed sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43% +1

Disapprove 56% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +1.

It still could be a bad sample.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% +2

Disapprove 53% -3


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -3.

A bad sample has dropped off, though Obama's numbers have still shown erosion over the past two weeks.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +3

Disapprove 51% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.

Even though there are good numbers, there is still erosion on the Strongly Approve numbers over the last two weeks.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +3

Disapprove 51% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.

Even though there are good numbers, there is still erosion on the Strongly Approve numbers over the last two weeks.

If the response to the oil spill has hurt Obama, it is most likely with his base. This is why you may be seeing the slight erosion in his strongly approve numbers. And perhaps he is gaining some back due to him being slightly more aggressive with BP. Though at the end of the day these people will vote Democrat. Of course they might not turn out in the midterms.

It occurred about 3-4 weeks into the spill, and it isn't rebounding as of yet.  Yet, it is limited to his Strongly Approved numbers, so far.  It isn't translating into solidly higher disapproval numbers.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

It is possible that there is a skewed pro-Obama in there.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -1

Disapprove 52% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

If it is a bad sample, we should see Obama's Strongly Approve numbers drop tomorrow.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% -1

Disapprove 54% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

A bad sample is dropping off.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% u

Disapprove 54% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

That was easy. 

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% u

Disapprove 53% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

[J. J.]

Obama approval rating May 2010 (gallup):

48% Approve
44% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 42/43 (May 1978)
Reagan: 45/45 (May 1982)
Bush I: 65/20 (May 1990)
Clinton: 51/42 (May 1994)
Bush II: 76/18 (May 2002)

Obama's approval rating has actually been amazingly stable since December:

Dec. 50/43
Jan. 49/44
Feb. 50/43
Mar. 48/44
Apr. 49/45
May 48/44

The thing I've found the most interesting is his high negatives, which has been repeated on Rasmussen's Daily.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +2

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

[J. J.]

He just keeps going down, down, down.

There has been very little movement in recent months, so no, not really.

Yeh, I'm seeing a slight decline, but nothing great.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, +1.

The new normal.  What has really moved in the last month is the "Strongly Approve" number.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% -3

Disapprove 54% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% +1

Disapprove 54% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% U

Disapprove 53% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +3

Disapprove 50% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.


A good Obama sample, but that Strongly Approve number is still showing a drop.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% -3

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +2.


A good Obama sample dropped off.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +3

Disapprove 50% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.


A good Obama sample, but that Strongly Approve number is still showing a drop.

49% approval for an incumbent before the electoral campaign begins in earnest almost always implies a victory. There will be those who won't be happy with either the incumbent or the challenger, and will hibernate in the election. George W. Bush had lower approvals throughout most of 2004 and still won despite having a high rate of "strong disapproval".

 

Or, a good Obama sample dropped off. 

He "dropped" today, but it was probably just a good sample dropping off.