The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Zarn]

The 46% A, 50% D on the NJ poll was November 9.

[Zarn]

I know we don't matter, but Obama has a 54 to 19% approval rating in the UK:
http://today.yougov.co.uk/politics/Brits-back-Barack

We're all just dirty socialists.

     Not to mention dirty undecideds, seeing as how 27% of you were to indecisive to register an opinion.

We're just a woefully ill informed nation.

Is that why you choose to complain about the weather?

[Zarn]

Fezzy is an Eagles fan that would sell his soul for a Lombardi. Unfortunately for him, he and many others do not realize that flash and no class would not do as well as an actual quarterback (Kolb) in the playoffs.

[Zarn]

Haha Giants fan?

Nope.

[Zarn]

You missed my post about NJ again. Do I need to repost it?

[Zarn]

You missed my post about NJ again. Do I need to repost it?

Sure, go for it.

I meant pbrower. He doesn't have NJ listed, and it had a post election poll.

[Zarn]

That Menendez poll seems way off. There is no way 44% are unsure with people who haven't even heard of him.

[Zarn]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, -1.

Disapprove 56%, +1. 

"Strongly Approve" is at 22%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, +1.

If this is a bad sample, we should know by tomorrow or Monday.

I believe this is real.  Unemployment plus WikiLeaks would be enough to do this IMO.

Gallup was going the other way.

[Zarn]

I think a lot of the approval change also has to do with the changed partisan makeup in November, according to Rasmussen's new sample.

The October sample was: 33.4% R   36.3% D   30.3% I

The November sample is: 36.0% R   34.7% D   29.3% I

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation

Right, but if people feel more Republican, of course they aren't going to like Obama.

[Zarn]

But you haven't strongly suspected a skewed anti-Obama sample the last 2 years?

Of course I have, repeatedly.  It generally has been.

Or perhaps Barack Obama is more popular than you assume.

To me, it appears that the President's approval rating has been on the rise (albeit very slowly) since late August to early September, rising from a low of 43% in Gallup's polling in the middle of August.

EDIT: Anvikshiki's reply on the last page includes a poll that would seem to confirm this.

Gallup is a bouncy poll. It swings a lot.

[Zarn]

Question: Does anyone else suppose that Oregon has a lower current approval rating of Obama than Washington and California because he's not liberal enough for them?

I know that many Democrats and liberals are angry or otherwise frustrated with Obama.

Oregon has a lower percentage of Dem leaners...

[Zarn]

Tender,

Hey man, you were one who claimed something a lot more sinister than dubious.  Yes, I think it was a mistake on SurveyUSA's part to push everyone to make a choice.  However, that critique is different from claiming SurveyUSA never conducted the polling (a la Strategic Vision/Research 2000) as you suggested.

As I've said I have a problem with right-wing news magazines that publish 100%-with-no-undecideds poll results and no crosstabs on their site.

But lets wait until SUSA and Rasmussen put out their own 2012 polls on their sites and now please let us adjourn the discussion obout it for a couple of months until we get them.

Over the next few months the pollsters are going to assess the approvals that incoming Senators and Governors get. We are going to see how popular some Hard Right politicians fare in such states as Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. If they do badly, then President Obama stands to win a landslide.

Hint: there's not much of a honeymoon this time.

Define "hard right."

[Zarn]

Neither of you understand that if someone isn't willing to vote for Obama now, he or she will never be willing to vote for Obama, especially in the matchups with Palin.

What Obama is getting against her now is all that he's going to get.  He has no room to grow in a matchup against her.  All of his base is already voting for him and if a swing voter isn't voting for Obama now, he or she will be voting for her.

I'm a registered Republican. I will not vote for Palin, under any circumstances. I'm not the only one. I would sooner vote 3rd party or for Obi-Wan Kenobi than vote for Palin or Obama.

[Zarn]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, +2.

Don't kill me. I was just trying to help.

[Zarn]

My biggest beef with PPP is that its national polling is inconsistent with its state polling.  How is his approval rating in North Carolina and Florida better than his approval rating nationally?

I actually do not have much to complain about regarding PPP's national poll.  Yes, there seem to be too few whites polled but then again, 51% of the sample is comprised of moderates.

I agree with you that Ras has declined with his state polling.  But given that a lot of people here seem to believe his national polling is stellar, I hope you are willing to stay consistent if Ras shows Palin within 3-6 points as he has in the past.  I imagine most of the people here will dismiss Ras as a partisan hack.

Dude, Palin will not win... take it from other Republicans, she is not good presidential material.

[Zarn]

It's just Rasmussen. Gallup's Dissaproval actually went down one point today. My trust in Rasmussen continues to deteriorate.

Gallup is usually much worse...

[Zarn]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, u.

Disapprove 55%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 21%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

The strongly approved number is the lowest ever.

Lol... I'm having a really hard time believing these numbers

They were even lower than that at other points. It's not surprising at all.

[Zarn]

Gallup National Approval

Approve - 47%, +2

Dissaprove - 44%, -2

Other/Not Sure - 9%

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

I'm beginning to wonder if Rasmussen just lumps all the "Not Sure" answers in with the Dissaproval percentage.

different criteria

[Zarn]

Party affliliation can only go so far; plenty of Republican presidents the last 40 years while there were more self-identifying Democrats.

I'll trust Gallup's polling over Rasmussen's. Ras was the one that told us McCain was still ahead in Ohio til early October. I think Zogby, or someone else, pulled the same crap with Florida.

Gallup was off by several points for the whole country.

[Zarn]

Get a room...