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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1031042 times)
JerryBrown2010
KyleGordon2016
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« Reply #1725 on: August 02, 2009, 01:37:55 pm »


Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

ROFL. Pwnage.

Except they don't Tongue

Gallup Poll
If you want to argue with CNN the biggest news network in the world, be my guest. I don't even see on there where it says people would rather have republicans taking over things then Obama.
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change08
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« Reply #1726 on: August 02, 2009, 01:44:36 pm »


Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

ROFL. Pwnage.

Except they don't Tongue

Gallup Poll
If you want to argue with CNN the biggest news network in the world, be my guest. I don't even see on there where it says people would rather have republicans taking over things then Obama.

Neither can I. :/

Please point it out for us slower people (if it's there that is).
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CJK
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« Reply #1727 on: August 02, 2009, 05:18:54 pm »


Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

"From health care to handguns, the American public has more confidence in the
Democratic party than the Republican party to deal with domestic issues. By margins of more
than 20 percentage points, the public thinks the Democratic party would do a better job of
protecting the environment (46% to 22%), and reforming health care (47% to 25%) than would
the GOP. Smaller pluralities give the nod to the Democratic party on issues where there has been
either party parity or a GOP advantage. Times Mirror's respondents preferred the Democrats for
reducing crime by a 35% to 29% margin and for reducing the budget deficit by a thin 36% to
31%. Wider pluralities had more confidence in the Democrats for reforming the welfare system
(40% to 30%) and on gun control (42% to 32%)."


--Pew Research, December 1993 http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/19931209.pdf

I wonder how that worked out for the Dems in 1994....

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JerryBrown2010
KyleGordon2016
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« Reply #1728 on: August 02, 2009, 06:53:51 pm »


Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

"From health care to handguns, the American public has more confidence in the
Democratic party than the Republican party to deal with domestic issues. By margins of more
than 20 percentage points, the public thinks the Democratic party would do a better job of
protecting the environment (46% to 22%), and reforming health care (47% to 25%)
than would
the GOP. Smaller pluralities give the nod to the Democratic party on issues where there has been
either party parity or a GOP advantage. Times Mirror's respondents preferred the Democrats for
reducing crime by a 35% to 29% margin and for reducing the budget deficit by a thin 36% to
31%. Wider pluralities had more confidence in the Democrats for reforming the welfare system
(40% to 30%) and on gun control (42% to 32%)."


--Pew Research, December 1993 http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/19931209.pdf

I wonder how that worked out for the Dems in 1994....



That's good news not bad news for the democrats.
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CJK
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« Reply #1729 on: August 02, 2009, 07:56:48 pm »

Um, the point was that even though the public in 1993 said they agreed with the Democrats more than the Republicans, they had no problem with throwing them out of Congress the very next year. The same dynamic can work now. Remember, the Democrat's rise in 2006 was almost entirely due to anti-Bush sentiment, not any positive agenda they offered. Being "the party of no" may be enough for Republicans to make gains in 2010 (assuming discontent with  Obama) even if the public presently supports the Democrats more than the Republicans.

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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1730 on: August 02, 2009, 08:01:18 pm »

Folks, the regression line on Obama's approval has been overextended to the negative side over about the past month or so (imo compared to earlier months).  In the short term, however, what's going on over the past couple of days is the "beer" thing - you have to wait a week to see where it levels out.

Based on this regression line, a bounce for Obama up into the 55% range on Rasmussen or 60% range in Gallup or other adult polls not strongly weighted like NBC/WSJ over the next month would not be at all surprising and would certainly not invalidate it
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #1731 on: August 02, 2009, 09:50:29 pm »

Um, the point was that even though the public in 1993 said they agreed with the Democrats more than the Republicans, they had no problem with throwing them out of Congress the very next year. The same dynamic can work now. Remember, the Democrat's rise in 2006 was almost entirely due to anti-Bush sentiment, not any positive agenda they offered. Being "the party of no" may be enough for Republicans to make gains in 2010 (assuming discontent with  Obama) even if the public presently supports the Democrats more than the Republicans.



Agreed
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Vepres
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« Reply #1732 on: August 02, 2009, 10:40:36 pm »


Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

ROFL. Pwnage.

Except they don't Tongue

Gallup Poll
If you want to argue with CNN the biggest news network in the world, be my guest. I don't even see on there where it says people would rather have republicans taking over things then Obama.

Neither can I. :/

Please point it out for us slower people (if it's there that is).

People disapprove of Obama on healthcare and the deficit which implies (but doesn't necessarily mean) that the Republicans are trusted more. Either way, his numbers are slipping in these key areas.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #1733 on: August 02, 2009, 11:43:36 pm »


Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

ROFL. Pwnage.

Except they don't Tongue

Gallup Poll
If you want to argue with CNN the biggest news network in the world, be my guest. I don't even see on there where it says people would rather have republicans taking over things then Obama.

Neither can I. :/

Please point it out for us slower people (if it's there that is).

People disapprove of Obama on healthcare and the deficit which implies (but doesn't necessarily mean) that the Republicans are trusted more. Either way, his numbers are slipping in these key areas.

Unfortunately for your hypothesis, polls have proven that not to be the case.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #1734 on: August 03, 2009, 12:08:28 am »

I would again like to point out that Americans have historically always answered that they're concerned about the deficit, even when other answers contradict that one. As I said before, even under FDR, the public said they wanted to balance the budget, despite the fact that they largely supported FDR's big spending New Deal programs.
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FloridaRepublican
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« Reply #1735 on: August 03, 2009, 12:13:12 am »

I would again like to point out that Americans have historically always answered that they're concerned about the deficit, even when other answers contradict that one. As I said before, even under FDR, the public said they wanted to balance the budget, despite the fact that they largely supported FDR's big spending New Deal programs.

Yeah let's spend more to get out of debt....  that makes perfect sense.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #1736 on: August 03, 2009, 12:24:31 am »

I would again like to point out that Americans have historically always answered that they're concerned about the deficit, even when other answers contradict that one. As I said before, even under FDR, the public said they wanted to balance the budget, despite the fact that they largely supported FDR's big spending New Deal programs.

Yeah let's spend more to get out of debt....  that makes perfect sense.

That was rather off-topic, considering I was talking about polling, not the issue itself.

Of course, if you're going to complain about the New Deal, you're still wrong. But let's leave that to another thread.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1737 on: August 03, 2009, 01:02:10 am »

I would again like to point out that Americans have historically always answered that they're concerned about the deficit, even when other answers contradict that one. As I said before, even under FDR, the public said they wanted to balance the budget, despite the fact that they largely supported FDR's big spending New Deal programs.

Yeah let's spend more to get out of debt....  that makes perfect sense.

If we tried to cut spending right now it would crash the economy again.  The only reason why we are not in another Great Depression IS government spending. 
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #1738 on: August 03, 2009, 06:54:25 am »

I would again like to point out that Americans have historically always answered that they're concerned about the deficit, even when other answers contradict that one. As I said before, even under FDR, the public said they wanted to balance the budget, despite the fact that they largely supported FDR's big spending New Deal programs.

Yeah let's spend more to get out of debt....  that makes perfect sense.

If we tried to cut spending right now it would crash the economy again.  The only reason why we are not in another Great Depression IS government spending. 

Exactly
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #1739 on: August 03, 2009, 03:12:14 pm »
« Edited: August 03, 2009, 03:16:04 pm by NiK »

Pollster.com shows a 52.4/42.1 approval rating.

Mitt Romney with a 28.3/21.4 approval rating.

Mike Huckabee with a 41.4/30.7 approval rating.

Sarah Palin with a 40.3/46.9 approval rating.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #1740 on: August 03, 2009, 03:16:28 pm »

Pollster.com shows a 52.4/42.1 approval rating for Obama.

Mitt Romney with a 28.3/21.4 approval rating.

Mike Huckabee with a 41.4/30.7 approval rating.

Sarah Palin with a 40.3/46.9 approval rating.
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change08
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« Reply #1741 on: August 03, 2009, 03:24:33 pm »
« Edited: August 03, 2009, 03:28:08 pm by Reelect In 2012 »

Pollster.com shows a 52.4/42.1 approval rating.

Mitt Romney with a 28.3/21.4 approval rating.

Mike Huckabee with a 41.4/30.7 approval rating.

Sarah Palin with a 40.3/46.9 approval rating.

Is that approval or favorability for the governors there?

EDIT: I see it's favorability. That's basically if you like the candidate as a person.

Obama's is currently 56.1% - 34.4%.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #1742 on: August 03, 2009, 03:26:16 pm »

Pollster.com shows a 52.4/42.1 approval rating.

Mitt Romney with a 28.3/21.4 approval rating.

Mike Huckabee with a 41.4/30.7 approval rating.

Sarah Palin with a 40.3/46.9 approval rating.

Is that approval or favorability for the governors there?

The republicans are current favorability across the nation. Obama's is his job approval as president.
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minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #1743 on: August 03, 2009, 03:37:06 pm »

What's with the weird "no opinion of Romney" hike?
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change08
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« Reply #1744 on: August 03, 2009, 03:40:45 pm »

What's with the weird "no opinion of Romney" hike?

The NBC/WSJ poll is the first time that Pollster has recorded anyone but PPP, Pew or Gallup on Romney fav/unfav and the NBC/WSJ had a large amount in the undecided column. Probably an outlier in that respect.
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Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #1745 on: August 04, 2009, 12:28:51 pm »

Pollster.com shows a 52.4/42.1 approval rating.

Mitt Romney with a 28.3/21.4 approval rating.

Mike Huckabee with a 41.4/30.7 approval rating.

Sarah Palin with a 40.3/46.9 approval rating.

Is that approval or favorability for the governors there?

EDIT: I see it's favorability. That's basically if you like the candidate as a person.

Obama's is currently 56.1% - 34.4%.

Yes, I saw that poll I didn't know which one post.
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JerryBrown2010
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« Reply #1746 on: August 04, 2009, 05:30:23 pm »

Gallup

Approve 55%

Disapprove 38%

Rasmussen

Approve 50%

Disapprove 48%
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change08
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« Reply #1747 on: August 04, 2009, 05:45:14 pm »

Current averages Approval/Disapproval

Pollster - 52.4/42.0
RCP - 54.1 (-0.1)/38.6 (-0.3)
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #1748 on: August 04, 2009, 06:36:28 pm »

Gallup

Approve 55%

Disapprove 38%

Rasmussen

Approve 50%

Disapprove 48%

Looks like he recovered from that whole Gates issue, he's increased a couple of points in the polls.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #1749 on: August 04, 2009, 06:53:15 pm »

It looks like Obama fell to earth about a month before Carter did in 1977.  http://webapps.ropercenter.uconn.edu/CFIDE/roper/presidential/webroot/presidential_rating_detail.cfm?allRate=True&presidentName=Carter

Carter fell from 66% to 54% around Labor Day 1977 after the Bert Lance scandal broke. 
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