The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50% +1

Disapprove 49% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.


This is the first time Obama's positive number were ahead of his negative since 2/3/10.

It could be a bad sample.

Rass has had Obama up for the past few days. A trend possibly?

Only the past three days, including today.  One sample will drop off tomorrow.  If it hold for 4-5 days, you are looking at a potential trend.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% -2

Disapprove 51% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

Probably a bad sample dropping out.

Gallup is unchanged at 49/45.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% +1

Disapprove 52% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +2.


Just a bad sample dropping off.

(Fixed.  I transposed the numbers.)

[J. J.]

Gallup Obama

Approve: 49% u

Disapprove: 45% -1

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% -2

Disapprove 54% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, +2.


It could be a sample problem.

Gallup, however, is showing a drop as well. 

Approve 46% -3

Disapprove 46% +2

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% +2

Disapprove 52% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

Fixed typo.

[J. J.]

Gallup Obama National

Approve:  47 +1

Disapprove:  46 (u)

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 51% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -2.


Bad sample dropped off?

[J. J.]

Gallup Obama National

Approve:  48 +1

Disapprove:  46 (u)

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +1

Disapprove 50% -1


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, -1.

If it holds, good news for Obama.

[J. J.]

Gallup Obama National

Approve:  49 +1

Disapprove:  45 -1

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -2

Disapprove 52% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, +2.

Strange pattern for the 'bots.

[J. J.]

Gallup Obama National

Approve:  49 u

Disapprove:  45 u

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

Two unchanged polls, with yesterday's Gallup.

[J. J.]

Gallup Obama National

Approve:  49 u

Disapprove:  43 -2

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% -2

Disapprove 54% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +2.

Perhaps just some wobbling after five days of stability.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% +2

Disapprove 52% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Back to stability.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +1.

More of the same.  You have to go back to 3/22/10 to find a number outside of a two point range of either the approve or disapprove number.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

[J. J.]

The Republican Party may very well to continue to exist ... but to be electorally successful, its policies must change significantly.  If it continues to stubbornly cling to the ideals of the past, then it shall go the way of the mastodon.

To appreciate the dire nature the party is in, one must examine its potential 2012 candidates.  Sarah Palin?  A seditious rube, whose qualifications for the Presidency are non-existent.  Mitt Romney?  A Wall Street insider - and he is considered to be their best candidate.  Mike Huckabee?  Too regional, too polarizing, too rural.  Mitch Daniels?  One of Dubya's minions.  George H.W. Bush?  He couldn't afford a credible Second Act.  Tabasco sauce?  Flavorful - but burns the throat.

The last poll, done by CNN, between Obama and Romney yields the following: Obama with 53% and Romney with 45%.  Add 6% to Obama's numbers, and you will get an accurate picture of the 2012 election.  Such is a landslide on the scale of Eisenhower's in 1956.  But I see his political skills more along the lines of Ronald Reagan.  Obama plays to win, and his campaign apparatus, which has been in mothballs, will come out.  When he is out of the White House and can finally campaign on his legislative successes, we will see his approvals - and his party's numbers - rise.

The 2010 Senate races ought to yield many surprises.  South Carolina?  Jim DeMint's approvals are sub-par.  Obama's, on the other hand, are surprisingly good for such a rock-ribbed conservative state.  The exploits of Governor Sanford may have put the Palmetto State into a Republican fatigue.  Georgia?  Only time will tell.  

Actually, excepting this weeks number, the GOP has been 8-10 points ahead of the Democrats on the generic ballot.  This week it dropped to six, but that still might be some standard fluctuation.  While Obama's strongly approve numbers have improved, his negatives have still stayed in the same area and still are much higher.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 52% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.


Massive stability.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% u

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 32%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46% -1

Disapprove 53% u


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, u.