The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1215837 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #125 on: September 01, 2012, 10:39:03 AM »
Romney should be at the height of his convention bounce this weekend:

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #126 on: September 05, 2012, 01:18:46 PM »
The convention bounce has begun!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #127 on: September 05, 2012, 07:45:31 PM »
You're not the only one.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #128 on: September 06, 2012, 12:14:34 PM »
That's +2 approval and -2 disapproval from yesterday.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #129 on: September 07, 2012, 01:40:18 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2012, 01:43:10 PM by Lief »
The convention bump, IT HAS BEGUN!

As far as I can tell this is the highest Gallup has had him since he got that bump from killing Osama bin Laden.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #130 on: September 14, 2012, 04:14:25 PM »

No, his approval was 49% yesterday.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #131 on: September 16, 2012, 12:29:13 PM »
50% in both tracking polls, not bad.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #132 on: September 16, 2012, 06:34:01 PM »
^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #133 on: September 16, 2012, 07:40:46 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 16, 2012, 07:22:31 PM
Quote from: Lief on September 16, 2012, 06:34:01 PM
^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

Oh so the rule doesn't count if the candidate you support says he doesn't look at/trust the polls. Gotcha.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #134 on: September 20, 2012, 10:43:18 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 20, 2012, 08:58:31 AM

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 51%, +2.

Disapprove 48%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  40%, -2.


It could be tied to Romney's 47% comment.  Tracking shows 47%/45% Obama in the horse race poll.



Stick a fork in him. He's done.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #135 on: September 20, 2012, 03:35:36 PM »
Who is Leif? And why would he be stupid enough to think that Obama was done for when he has healthy leads in all the swing states and solid national leads in all but a few outlier polls that aren't very good?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #136 on: September 23, 2012, 12:15:43 PM »
lol gallup

Wonder if Politico still thinks it's the gold standard of polling.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #137 on: September 26, 2012, 09:03:29 AM »
lol rasmussen
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #138 on: September 26, 2012, 11:27:38 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 26, 2012, 09:26:59 AM

I'd be watch those Strongly Approve numbers and Gallup over the weekend.  Smiley

Have fun watching your flawed outlier polls.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #139 on: September 26, 2012, 03:48:27 PM »
Uh, no it's not. It's very possible. And Gallup and Ramussen are both good examples of it. Both polls have flawed sample weightings.

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Do you expect Romney's numbers to quickly rebound after the damage of the 47% remark? Because there's no evidence (besides Rasmussen) that this is happening. Obama's lead has only grown in the last few days.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #140 on: September 29, 2012, 07:48:29 AM »
Not really, no: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_favorableunfavorable-643.html
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #141 on: September 29, 2012, 12:07:50 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 29, 2012, 12:06:26 PM
This is probably due to the drop off of the post 47% comment.

lol
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #142 on: September 29, 2012, 05:23:10 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on September 29, 2012, 04:34:14 PM

So you think Obama is in full collapse, Lief?

lol
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #143 on: October 02, 2012, 03:36:22 PM »
No, they're really not:
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #144 on: October 02, 2012, 05:47:36 PM »
What does whether or not a poll is a tracking poll have to do with anything? A poll is a poll?

And +5 on the NBC poll to +3 isn't significant movement.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #145 on: October 04, 2012, 02:07:19 PM »
Yup. Obama could have won by 10% in the popular vote if he had finished off Romney last night. Instead we'll probably be seeing a slim Romney lead in the next few days.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #146 on: October 05, 2012, 11:21:13 AM »
lol, nice debate bounce Mittens.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #147 on: October 06, 2012, 09:04:51 AM »
Obama's not going to lose if his approval is at 50%. Especially against someone like Mitt Romney.
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