The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Dgov]

New Quinnipiac:

Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 40%

Approval is +6% and disapproval is -8% from before the killing.

The poll shows a huge positive shift among men but not much of a change among women.

It does look like the bounce is going to be a lot smaller than I initially thought it would be... still kind of early to say for sure though.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1596&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0

The way the polling seems to be going, it seems like he could reasonably be in the upper fifties by tomorrow or Saturday.

Really?  I'm pretty sure that he's basically already peaked out now and will start sliding back down within the next few days.  I mean, who's going to approve of him tomorrow more than they approve of him today?  Its not like good news keeps rolling in--on the contrary, it looks like the whole issue is going to get significantly worse for Obama.

[Dgov]

Gallup: http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx

Approve: 51% (u)
Dissaprove: 40% (-1)

Gallup's weekly totals will also be up soon, and should all be Post-Bin-Laden, so we'll get some cross-tabs as well

[Dgov]

Gallup's Weekly total is up again.  Basically a 7-Point increase versus last week, with basically every group gaining.

The Political subgroups are interesting though, He's still below 50% with Indies, mostly because the bump has come mostly from Republicans (10% to 21%).  Liberals and Democrats showed only a 2 and 3-point gain respectively, but this reflect an actual bounce tempered by a handful of "OMG AMERICAN EMPIRE" Liberals going the other way.

Also us Youngens saw a 13-Point approval jump, though this might be due to an usually low total for Obama last week (46%).  All other age groups went up 5 or 6.

Geographically, Obama went up 9 in the East and West, 7 in the South, and 5 in the Midwest.

There's not really any racial differences, though Obama's still off his highs with black voters (though they still overwhelmingly approve).

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx

Though Gallup's other poll (Obama vs Generic R) Poll shows statistically insignificant movement in Obama's direction, going from tied to Obama + 3, suggesting the bulk of Obama's approval increase has come from people who probably wouldn't vote for him anyway.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/147500/Obama-Approval-Bump-Hasnt-Transferred-2012-Prospects.aspx

[Dgov]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 29%, -19

Disapprove 70%, +19.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 35%, -2.

Could be a bad sample. Come back tomorrow.

You'd think they would be better with the Typos by now

[Dgov]

Obama falls apart in Gallup.  Down to 46/45 among adults.

Two Big Drops in a row too, which suggest either two consecutive bad samples, or a bad sample coming in and then a good one dropping out.  Also might be something to do with memorial weekend biasing the samples.  If he's not up to at least 49% again by Tuesday, he's probably taken a substantive hit.

[Dgov]

Gallup

Approve: 51 (-2)
Disapprove: 42 (+3)

They're just all over the place lately hugh?

Oh well.  Obama's probably around 48-50% and they just got a couplet bad samples recently

[Dgov]

He's also back underwater in Gallup too, down to 45-46

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

Although Gallup's been jumping around a lot lately, so he might bounce back up to 50-40 tomorrow for all I know.

[Dgov]

Obama down 5 to generic Republican in Gallup

http://www.gallup.com/poll/148076/2012-Voter-Preferences-Obama-Republican-Remain-Close.aspx

Though they do point out polls from June of the year before elections generally don't have good predicting values for the eventual result.

[Dgov]

Its not a Statewide poll, but PPP tested Obama's approval rating with likely S.E. Voters in CA-36, and found him at 44-47 disapproval.  The (admittedly small) sample claimed to have voted for him 56%-39%, and he won the district in 2008 64.5-33.5

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2011/7/8/CA-36/38/wsI21

Mostly this is due to Obama being at 44-45 with the district's considerable Hispanic population.

[Dgov]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49, +1.

Disapprove 50%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 38%, u.

I'd suspect a bad sample may be moving through the system; a 5 point Strongly Approve in two days is a bit high.

Wait a few days. Maybe President Obama won the budget squabble, the pitched battle that Congressional Republicans set for him.

Well, from these polls it looks like just the opposite happened:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/148487/Republican-Candidate-Extends-Lead-Obama.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=plaintextlink&utm_term=Politics

Obama's down 47-39 to Generic Republican for re-election in Gallup

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/generic_presidential_ballot/election_2012_generic_presidential_ballot

And down 48-43 to Generic Republican in Rass.

Both represent his worst showing yet in either poll.

[Dgov]

Didn't Gallup have him at 46/46 just two days ago? 

Actually, that means that tomorrow his ratings are likely to be worse, since Gallup uses a 3-day rolling average and 3 days ago he went up a couple points.

Though Gallup's polling suggests that everyone's hurting right now, not just the President.