The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Rowan]

Gallup

Approve 67%(-1)
Disapprove 27%(+1)

COLLAPSE!!!! OH NO!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Rowan]

Gallup

Approve 66%(-1)
Disapprove 27%(nc)

Inching back down towards reality.

[Rowan]

Gallup

Approve 66%(-1)
Disapprove 27%(nc)

Inching back down towards reality.

But Rasmussen's back up today to 57-43 (+1, nc).

Reality(to me at least) is 60-62%.

[Rowan]

Ipsos/McClatchey

Approve 65%
Disapprove 31%

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/67621.html

[Rowan]

Wow, that's pretty sad that only just over half of California adults are considered likely voters.

[Rowan]

CBSNews

Approve 63%(-5%)
Disapprove 26%(+3%)

http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/poll_obama_051309.pdf

[Rowan]

CA-8 SurveyUSA

Approve 84%
Disapprove 13%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2328c94e-0f2f-4290-9293-7d4f2e11cd74

[Rowan]

Gallup

Approve 63%(-2)
Disapprove 30%(+2)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

[Rowan]

A new Mason-Dixon Nevada poll will be out soon.

But I don't know how reliable Mason-Dixon is after showing only a 4-point Obama win in Nevada, when he really won it by 13% ...

In all fairness, did anyone get NV right? I remember PPP also had a 4 point spread.

[Rowan]

New York- Rasmussen

Approve 65%
Disapprove 32%

[Rowan]

CNN

Approve 62%
Disapprove 35%

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_national_survey_cnn51415.php

[Rowan]

ARG
Approve 61%
Disapprove 32%

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/

[Rowan]

OBAMA IS NOT WINNING UTAH UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. NONE. ZILCH.

[Rowan]

I'm pretty sure those who think Obama has no chance in Utah thought the same thing about Indiana last year...

Completely different animal. Indiana isn't 70% Mormon.

[Rowan]

I'm pretty sure those who think Obama has no chance in Utah thought the same thing about Indiana last year...

Well, probably.  If they didn't think Obama would win in Indiana, then why would they suddenly give him a chance in Utah?

Obama wins Utah only in the best of scenarios.  Huge economic recovery, a new era of good feelings, and only against Mike Huckabee (this is why Huckabee must not get the nomination).  If the economy hasn't recovered, no way in hell Utah goes for Obama, or most other states for that matter.

Huckabee is the only candidate who can win a bunch of southern states. Arkansas alone is at least as big a prize than Utah. 

Obama is the only Democratic politician not from Indiana who could win Indiana. Everything went right for Obama, and he still barely won Indiana.   

The economy needs not fully recover for Obama to win in 2012 -- big. The economy hadn't fully recovered for FDR in 1936, either, and he won in a landslide.

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Because the Republicans have no candidate who has no regional weaknesses that prevents Obama by winning re-election simply by winning every state that he won by at least 9%  and one other state. Pick Romney and Obama picks up at least one Southern state. Pick Huckabee and Obama wins a few more northern states. Pick Palin and lose... Ohio. Pick Gingrich and Obama wins an Eisenhower landslide.



[/quote]

Pray tell what "southern" state would Romney lose. McCain wasn't exactly southern himself.

[Rowan]

Pray tell what "southern" state would Romney lose. McCain wasn't exactly southern himself.

McCain wasn't a Mormon. And his military background played well in the South.

Romney not only will have problems with the Evangelicals, but I doubt that as a Massachusets multimillionaire he will be the ideal messenger for GOP's pseudopopulist talking points.   

So instead of voting for the Republican like they usually do, they are going to vote for a black liberal Democrat? Uh no.

[Rowan]

Pray tell what "southern" state would Romney lose. McCain wasn't exactly southern himself.

McCain wasn't a Mormon. And his military background played well in the South.

Romney not only will have problems with the Evangelicals, but I doubt that as a Massachusets multimillionaire he will be the ideal messenger for GOP's pseudopopulist talking points.   

So instead of voting for the Republican like they usually do, they are going to vote for a black liberal Democrat? Uh no.

No. They can stay home or vote third party.

And risk Obama getting elected again? I'm not saying they will be voting for Romney, but their vote for Romney would be against Obama.

[Rowan]

I was referring to states Obama didn't win already. I also doubt Obama can do much better in Georgia, he maxed out the black vote, and still lost by 5 points.

[Rowan]

I love how liberals hate Reagan, but always want to compare themselves to him.

[Rowan]

thanks for another insightful contribution

Agreeing with my posts is always insightful.

[Rowan]

There was a SurveyUSA Alabama poll which would obviously be more credible than a published "internal" poll.

[Rowan]

That 59% from Quinnipiac was nationally, not in NJ.

[Rowan]

Yes, because of one approval rating poll, Obama will lose Colorado.

Stop overanalyzing the approval ratings. You're not helping yourselves become decent political analysts; you're just looking like fools.

That one Colorado poll was also highly questionable.  Do you think only 23% of Hispanics really approve of Obama there?

Not sure where you pulled those numbers from, probably your ass. He was at 58% among Hispanics in the poll.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_421.pdf

[Rowan]

After getting his best results in a while, Rasmussen today shows Obama with his worst approvals so far:

54% Approve
46% Disapprove

"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 34% of the nation's voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-four percent (34%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of 0. That’s the highest level of strong disapproval and the lowest overall rating yet recorded."



http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history

These numbers don't make sense based on the state by state numbers. With Obama still getting huge approval ratings in most recent state polls, particuarly those with larger populations, all of the unpolled and not recently polled states would've had to slip to 70-80% disapproval for these national numbers to add up.

Outlier

You can't compare state numbers from other firms to Rasmussen as they each use a different polling method. Rasmussen just had Obama at 60% in NJ, so a 54% national rating based off of that, is hardly unreasonable.

[Rowan]

Sorry, but you can't be "right" polling approval ratings. There's no such thing. It's something that cannot be verified.