The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +1

Disapprove 51%


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Obamacare probably rallied the base.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49% +1

Disapprove 51%


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Obamacare probably rallied the base.

Obama would win with that. Add about 3% to the "Approve" and you get a fair estimate of the vote. A reason: many of those who disapprove of him as President will find no viable alternative among Republicans and will either not vote or will vote for a third-party candidate.

 

I'm just reporting, not predicting the general, which is about 2 1/2 years away.

[J. J.]

Gallup is bizarre, Approve is -1, Disapprove is +2.

[J. J.]

Hawaii(Rasmussen)

Approve 77%
Disapprove 23%

What the hell happened to Hawaii? It was relatively close in 2004, and now Obama has sky high approval ratings there, and the health care plan also gets a 66\26 approval.

They finally believe he was born there? 

[J. J.]

Gallup is bizarre, Approve is -1, Disapprove is +2.

It is proably adding to the disapproval from undecided

His "approval" dropped as well.  I have no idea what has happened to Gallup.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% -2

Disapprove 53% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +2.

The one thing for sure that Obamacare did was was rally Obama's base; the "strongly approve" numbers arguably jumped 5-10 points.  This might have increased his overall "approve" numbers, at least short term, by 2-5 point.

It does not look, other than an ephemeral bump, to have moved Obama's disapproval numbers in either direction.

[J. J.]

Gallup
Approval 48 (-2)
Disapproval 45 (+1)

Okay, so according to Gallup, Obama is in a decline, probably a tailspin, that will result 150 Democrats losing their House seats, a 15 seat loss in the Senate.  Obama losing re-election, and then being deported, when they find his birth certificate in Estonia!

Yes, I'm being sarcastic, but come on.  The only thing there that looks normal is a relatively stable disapproval rate (42%-45%).

If this keeps up, I'm going back to looking at Zogby. 

[J. J.]

The Gallup poll was the daily, showing a six point shift, overall, for the last two days.

The only thing "obsolete" is the belief that Obamacare would greatly help boost Obama's overall approval numbers.  It does look like it it did help rally his base, on Rasmussen.  It did not show a major boost in the overall approve/disapprove numbers.  Gallup is showing no major boost and no real change in disapproval.  Take the Gallup numbers for what you will, but they as heck are not obsolete.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%

Disapprove 53%

(Both unchanged)


"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, +1.

The "Strongly Approve" number is -4 of the post Obamacare high, but still within the MOE, and still shows a bounce from the 23%-26% numbers prior to that.  "Strongly Disapprove," while still within the MOE, is tied for the highest number ever.

[J. J.]

Gallup's latest today

46% approve
46% disapprove

It could be a really bad sample, or Gallup is just goofy. 

[J. J.]

Tender Branson, that goes for you too. Don't post links that make the page horrendously wide.

It doesn't show up wide if you use FireFox.

I'm on FireFox and he's right.  It is two lines, the second one beginning "/new_mexico."

[J. J.]

Tender Branson, that goes for you too. Don't post links that make the page horrendously wide.

It doesn't show up wide if you use FireFox.

Well, yeah, I know, but that doesn't change my point.

How can someone tell it's "too long" if it isn't on their screen?

[J. J.]

um, it's REALLY easy to tell what a really long link is.

If it's questionable, all you have to do is go"

Code:

[url=reallyLongLinkButI'mNotSureIfIt'sTooLongOfALinkMaybeIWillThinkAboutIt]SOURCE[/url]

If it's a grey zone area, why risk screw up everyone else's viewing experience?

Okay, but that grey zone is some sort of measure.

[J. J.]

It's not scientific dude.  I'm sure you could research the exact amount of characters it takes to screw up the tables for 51% of forum members here, but are people going to count characters in their links?  

How about, if it's a long link, you use the URL code to shorten it so people's tables don't POTENTIALLY get ruined.  If you have no concept of the difference between a long link and a short link in your own mind, I'm not sure what I can do for you.  If it's borderline, it's not a big deal either way because the worst case scenario is that you only screw up the tables slightly.  

There is NO drawback to shortening your link, there's no negative consequences or blowback, I don't see why some sort of decision calculus needs to exist here, sheesh.

Why are you trying to overthink this?

I'm not trying "overthink" this.  Those of us who use Firefox don't have the problem, so we can't know.

[J. J.]

Lunar, I think your comments are valid, but please keep in mind that some of us, like me, literally cannot see the problem.  I understand that you are not able to look over my shoulder and see my screen.     That is why I was asking you explain and give some parameters.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%

Disapprove 52% -1




"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 44%, unchanged.

It looks like Obamacare did rally the base, but the "Strongly Disapproved" is still tied for a record high.

[J. J.]

Gallup is less goofy today:

48%  Approve (+2)

46% Disapprove (u)

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%

Disapprove 53% +1


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, unchanged.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, -1.

[J. J.]

Gallup is back to where it started

48%  Approve (u)

44% Disapprove (-2)

[J. J.]

Basically, Obama's numbers did not greatly increase after Obamacare was passed.  It is not so much that they may get worse.  It is that they did not get very much better.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +1

Disapprove 51% -2




"Strongly Approve" is at 33%, +3.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -2.

[J. J.]

Basically, Obama's numbers did not greatly increase after Obamacare was passed.  It is not so much that they may get worse.  It is that they did not get very much better.

Yes, but the bleeding stopped. The ugly propaganda undermining his Presidency came to an end after it became more costly than relevant. 

As the future President showed in 2008, one can win a close election by working the margins, putting resources where they can do one's overall campaign the most good.  That election would have been much closer had it not been for the meltdown of the financial system.

I've indicated that Obamacare rallied the base, and Obama's lows are no longer record numbers.  Obamacare still remains very unpopular.

Obama however said, in effect, if it passed, there would be a turnaround.  That has not happened.

[J. J.]

Gallup
50% (+2)
43% (-1)

Gallup approaches normal (for Gallup).

[J. J.]

Well, of course. Its Idaho.

Right. Most of America doesn't rely upon farming, ranching, logging, and mining. Idaho has no giant cities. Few minorities?

Sarah Palin country, her "Real America" to a tee.

I question why you would have to throw something in about minorities in there.

Most nonwhite citizens don't vote Republican?

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47% +1

Disapprove 53% +2


"Strongly Approve" is at 31%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, unchanged.