President Forever results thread...

[Blair]

Is everybody else playing the 2016 primaries finding Martin O'Malley inexplicably nigh unbeatable in the early states?

I turn him and Webb off- the democrat field is broken. O'Malley always wins Iowa, NH, Nevada and then flames out

[100% pro-life no matter what]

On American History for Clinton vs. Trump (playing as Trump)

It all came down to Pennsylvania, which wasn't called until the next morning.  Clinton won the popular vote 50.0%-47.2%, but Trump almost won Pennsylvania, which would have swung the election.

Closest States (within 5%):

Pennsylvania: Clinton +0.14
New Hampshire: Clinton +0.21
Wisconsin: Clinton +0.64
Florida: Trump +0.88
Iowa: Clinton +0.88
Virginia: Clinton +1.86
Michigan: Clinton +2.42
Ohio: Trump +4.20
Utah: Trump +4.32 (with 16.3% for Gary Johnson)

I tried once more, and it was a bit more Trumpy (but still with a very close PV):

Trump wins 322-216 despite only winning the popular vote by 0.6% (48.7-48.1).  The election is called for Trump when Pennsylvania is called before polls even closed on the West Coast.

Closest states:
Michigan: Trump +0.22
Virginia: Trump +1.02
Wisconsin: Trump +1.74
Pennsylvania: Trump +2.10
Colorado: Clinton +2.14
New Hampshire: Trump +2.41
Florida: Trump +3.23
Iowa: Trump +4.03
Minnesota: Clinton +4.31
Utah: Trump +6.04 (19.3% for Gary Johnson)
Nevada: Clinton +6.21
Ohio: Trump +6.32
Maine: Clinton +6.73 (a weakness of the game is it doesn't do ME-02)
Oregon: Clinton +8.99
Montana: Trump +9.17
Illinois: Clinton +9.36
North Carolina: Trump +9.69
Delaware: Clinton +9.82

[100% pro-life no matter what]

And, then, I played as Clinton on the hardest difficulty level and tried to sabotoge her along the way (by the end, she was arguing for building a wall and making Mexico pay for it) just to see how crazy it could get (spoiler alert: Florida came within 0.02 of being >60):

Overall Popular Vote:
Trump 56.6%
Clinton 38.7%

Closest States:
Rhode Island: Trump +0.22
New York: Clinton +1.98
New Mexico: Clinton +2.04 (a double digit Johnson vote saves her here)
Maryland: Clinton +2.36
Massachusetts: Trump +2.41
California: Clinton +2.50
Washington: Trump +3.47
Vermont: Clinton +4.33 (she disavowed Bernie during the campaign)

[Mike Thick]

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton/Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren: 50% PV, 297 EVs
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin/Dr. Ben Carson: 49.7% PV, 241 EVs

Maine was the closest state, being decided by about 4,000 votes. Indiana was a surprise, as polls showed Palin leading there up until election day.

[rpryor03]

Mr. Donald J. Trump/Dr. Ben Carson (Republican) - 180 EV, 19546946 PV, 20.9%
Sen. Rand Paul/Sen. Ted Cruz (Freedom) - 58 EV, 17167404 PV, 18.4%
Conservative Alliance - 238 EV, 36714350 PV, 39.3%
Sen. Bernard Sanders/Gov. Jesse Ventura (Progressive) - 136 EV, 18852740 PV, 20.2%
Sec. Hillary Clinton/Gov. Brian Schweitzer (Democratic) - 60 EV, 19627984 PV, 21%
Liberal Alliance - 196 EV, 3840724 PV, 41.2%
Sen. Mark Warner/Sen. Rob Portman (People's) - 104 EV, 18241592 PV, 19.5%

[This account no longer in use.]

Battle of the Extremes

Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/Alan Grayson (D-FL) - 47.6%, 275 EVs
Ted Cruz (R-TX)/Michele Bachmann (R-MN) - 50.4%, 263 EVs
Darryl W. Perry (L-NH)/Will Coley (L-???) - 1.0%
Jill Stein (G-MA)/Cheri Honkala (G-PA) - 0.7%
Darrell Castle (C-TN)/Scott Bradley (C-UT) - 0.3%

Close states:

Iowa - 0.4%
New Mexico - 1.0%
Minnesota - 1.6%
Colorado - 2.0%
Oregon - 2.2%
Michigan - 2.6%
New Hampshire - 2.9%
Wisconsin - 3.5%
Washington - 4.8%

New Jersey - 5.5%
Pennsylvania - 6.4%
Ohio - 7.3%
Nevada - 7.4%
Maine - 7.9%
California - 8.0%
Missouri - 8.6%
Florida - 8.9%
Virginia - 9.2%
North Carolina - 9.3%

[Mike Thick]

Ted Cruz/Tim Scott: 69.9% PV, 195 EVs
Joe Biden/Hillary Clinton: 25.2% PV, 30 EVs
Gary Johnson/Jesse Ventura: 4.9% PV, 13 EVs

Observed as Johnson.

Cruz beat Romney, Pence, Carson, and Haley in the primaries comfortably. Biden beat O'Malley by a similar margin. Cruz picked Tim Scott as his VP, while Biden picked... Hillary Clinton.

Cruz started with a 538-0 lead and never totally relinquished it: going in, I expected him to carry every state and D.C. In the end, though, Biden surged, and managed to snag a whole quarter of the PV. Despite not campaigning at all, I managed to narrowly win Virginia (with 38%) and come within striking distance of Cruz in Oregon, even though I failed to hit 5% in the PV.

[This account no longer in use.]

Donald Trump (R-NY)/Joni Ernst (R-IA) - 305 EVs, 42%
Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 227 EVs, 40.4%
Tom Coburn (Renegade-OK)/Ben Sasse (Renegade-NE) - 6 EVs, 12.9%
Gary Johnson (L-NM)/William Weld (L-MA) - 3.3%
Other - 1.3%

[SATW]

I ran a campaign as myself and barely beat Warren (and lost to Hillary in a different round).

The most bizarre result:

Washington State:
SunriseAroundTheWorld-Marco Rubio: 44.9% (1.45 Million votes)
Liz Warren-Cory Booker: 44.4% (1.43 Million votes)
Jill Stein-Cheryl Honkala: 8.8% (284K)
Gary Johnson-Jim Gray: 2.0% (64K)

What made this weirder was that I lost: MT, NV, CO, AZ while Winning: NH, WI, IA by small margins and OH, NC, VA, FL by 10%+ pts. (VA was a 21% shocker...was only up 4% on election day)


WV, TN, and KY were all semi-competitive as well, weirdly enough. (I won +7% in WV, +8% in TN and +14% in KY).


EDIT: Just realized I almost lost oklahoma...lololol 52-48

[Deblano]

Edited the 1980 scenario by adding another third party.

Former President Gerald Ford/ Senator Howard Baker (Republican): 385 EV; 46.4%, 44,013,272
President Jimmy Carter/ Vice President Walter Mondale (Democrat): 106 EV; 40.5%, 38,379,229
Senator Jesse Helms/ Representative Bob Dornan (American Independent): 47 EV; 13.1%; 12,393,783

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

1980: 1976, Round Two

Former President Gerald Ford (R-MI) / Senator Bob Dole (R-KS) - 422/50.1%
President Jimmy Carter (D-GA) / Vice President Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 116/43.6%
SC voted for Carter by 1,241 votes. Closest state of the cycle.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

2008: First-name First Job

Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) - 346/53.1%
Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R-NY) / Secretary of State Condi Rice (R-AL) - 192/45.1%
Spectated as Nader. NV went to Giuliani with 125 votes.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

1912: Roosevelt v. Roosevelt v. Marshall
Each vote individually:

Governor Thomas Marshall (D-IN) / Governor John Burke (D-ND) - 266/40.6%
Former President Theodore Roosevelt (R/P-NY) - 265/54.8%
           Governor Hiram Johnson (P-CA) - 199/30.3%
           Vice President James Sherman (R-NY) - 66/24.5%
P&R combined:

Roosevelt/Johnson/Sherman (P/R) - 426/54.8%
Marshall/Burke (D) - 105/40.6%
Idled as Debs. 2nd map is just each Progressive vote melded into each Republican vote.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

2016: But Muh...

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) - 271/50.4%
Donald Trump (R-NY) / Former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) - 267/49.2%
Idled as Stein. 11,225 votes in NH would swing the election to Trump.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

2020: The Era of the Outsider
A runthrough through this scenario.

Mr. Kanye West (D-CA) / Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) - 329/32.7%
Former Governor Jeb! Bush (R-FL) / Former Governor Brian Sandoval (R-NV) - 305/34.7%
President Donald Trump (OF-NY) / Grand Wizard (OF-??) - 79/31.9%
Idled as Gary Johnson. OF is Old Fashioned party. Think the Populist Party (1980s, not 1890s), but run by President Trump. 2nd, 3rd, and 4th boxes are Guam, American Samoa, and US Virgin Islands, respectively.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Here's my Democratic primary map.

Candidates: Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Hillary Clinton, Jim Webb, Joe Biden, Martin O'Malley

Only candidate who dropped out the entire campaign was Biden, he also endorsed Clinton and gave her all of his delegates

It will be heading to the convention, Mississippi is white because there was less than a 1% margin of victory, Sanders won it with 21.5% and O'Malley got 20.8% to Warren's 19.8% and the delegates were split 14-14-13

Biggest Margin of Victory was Tennessee where Clinton won 87% of the vote to Sanders' 11%

Final Delegate total:

Sanders 2,278
Clinton 1,212
O'Malley 555
Warren 468
Webb 184

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Daschle technically wins

[SATW]

how do you get state scenarios

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

how do you get state scenarios

IDK where to get all state scenarios, but I got SD Senate '04 here.

[This account no longer in use.]

Might try making some MA and NH statewides.

[SATW]

how do you get state scenarios

IDK where to get all state scenarios, but I got SD Senate '04 here.

gracias.

[SATW]

There's a Nevada 2016 senate one!

http://campaigns.270soft.com/2016/02/08/nevada-senate-2016-beta/

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

1992: From a Grand Old Party to a Klan Kookout

Former President Jimmy Carter / Senator Paul Tsongas - 391/46.4%
David Duke / Pat Buchanan - 143/38.3%
Ross Perot / James Stockdale - 4/13.3%

[Deblano]

Sec. Hillary Clinton/ Sen. Al Franken 372 EV; 77,116,723; 52.7%
Gov. Paul LePage/ Sen. Shelley Moore Capito 166 EV; 67,088,510; 45.9%
Gov. Gary Johnson/ Gov. Bill Weld 0 EV; 1,516,029; 1%
Dr. Jill Stein/ Mrs. Cheri Honkala 0 EV;  546,915; 0.4%

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

2016: Freiwal Strikes Back

Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) / Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) - 272/48.3%
Former Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK) / Donald Trump (R-NY) - 266/51.3%
Idled as Stein. 2,953 Biden votes switched to Palin switch outcome completely.