If the Presidential Election used Instant Runoff Voting in past elections? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 10:23:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  If the Presidential Election used Instant Runoff Voting in past elections? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: If the Presidential Election used Instant Runoff Voting in past elections?  (Read 2924 times)
anvi
anvikshiki
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,400
Netherlands


« on: January 02, 2009, 12:04:34 PM »

Here's what I get for '92 if we allow Bush to win states with a difference of 4 points or less and Clinton to take the rest.

Clinton 309
Bush 229


Logged
anvi
anvikshiki
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,400
Netherlands


« Reply #1 on: January 02, 2009, 12:51:05 PM »

Here's what I get for '92 if we allow Bush to win states with a difference of 4 points or less
Why do you do that?

Simplicity, mostly.  I agree that most of Perot's votes were anti-Bush votes, but I think a certain number of them were basically conservative votes that were not inclined to go for Clinton.  So, I just allowed states that fell within the MoE to break for Bush, and gave the states outside the MoE to Clinton.  Of course, it's entirely possible, given the results in '96, that Ohio (particularly since Glenn won his Senate seat that year), Louisianna, Kentucky and Tennessee would have gone for Clinton anyway in '92, though I don't think Georgia or Montana would have.  In this case the map would look like this:

Clinton 342
Bush 196




Logged
anvi
anvikshiki
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,400
Netherlands


« Reply #2 on: January 02, 2009, 05:45:31 PM »

All reasoable points.  Here is a final map for '92.

Clinton  323
Bush     206
Perot        9



Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 13 queries.