Clinton: 384
Bush: 154
270 needed to win
A bit generous to the incumbent President of the United States don't you say Garrison? I mean former President Clinton is running against a President with a worse approval rating than Harry S. Truman and Richard Nixon during their darkest hours.
Bush would have governed differently after 2004 if he knew that he was going to run again in 2008. He might not have signed the bail out plan, he may have had a better reaction to the hurricane Katrina disaster, and he would have continued with the surge.
Whilst this is true, I assume we are taking into consideration that George W. Bush as President does exactly what he did during his second term in RL, inclusive of his response to Hurricane Katrina, the War in Iraq, etc.
With the Clintons, the impeachment trial would have been a idea on some voters minds.
It would probably alienate few potential supporters of Clinton if such a race was to occur, but it wouldn't an mpact on the outcome of the result. If President Clinton could leave the White House in January 2001 with an approval rating of 65 percent, I can assure you that the Impeachment Trial, when entering the mind of voters wouldn't have been considered as a factor to vote against him.
The katrina thing probably would have kept Louisiana in the GOP column narrowly.
Oh my did you just say that? That Hurricane Katrina
thing as you like to describe it caused President Bush's popularity in the state to plummet drastically, thanks in part to his reaction to the disaster. Thus, I find, if President Bush was to run in 2008 he would lose the state quite handily to former President Bill Clinton.
North Carolina was never a big Clinton state. It was close in 1992, but this was because of Ross Perot.
If I ever hear you mention Ross Perot once more, I believe I am going to scream!! Anywho, I believe if this scenario was to take place that former President Clinton would be able to carry the state. Like Obama's victory in the state, the economy would have played a significant factor in causing the state to vote Democratic.
Indiana went to Obama because of the home state advantage and a big college turnout. Indiana would remain with Bush.
HAHA, neighbouring state advantage! And I was thinking that people didn't believe in that crap anymore. Like North Carolina, it would have voted for Bill Clinton. Thanks to the economy. Need I say more?