5 most likely people to become the 45th POTUS?

[Lunar]

1) Biden
2) Palin
3) Warner
4) Jindal
5) Schweitzer

[Lunar]

1) Biden
2) Palin
3) Warner
4) Jindal
5) Schweitzer

intresting... I disagree with palin though, she has to reinvent herself and Obama has to be terrible

Anything can happen in the race.  I think she'd be an awful candidate, but can you name me:
1) Any other candidate, Democrat or Republican, who is as likely as her to run in '12 and/or '16?  No other candidate is as guaranteed to compete.
2) Any other candidate who is as likely as her to win the primaries, after choosing to compete?  Palin  has a great chance of losing the primaries, but in my view she has the plurality odds in this department.  We don't know who the anti-Palin will be yet.

[Lunar]

Obama has 0% chance of being unable to finish his term for whatever reason?

[Lunar]

Obama has 0% chance of being unable to finish his term for whatever reason?

if obama does well why wouldnt a democrat win in '16?

I'm saying if Obama dies or otherwise become incapacitated, Biden will be the 45th POTUS - making him very likely, relative to any individual contender, to be that person.

[Lunar]

But that's irrelevant.

Ford counts as one of the 44 presidents we've had so far and it has nothing to do with the guy winning any election.