final prediction. mad labor-intensive so please look

[© tweed]

Obama/Biden: 52.82% PV, 349 EVs
McCain/Palin: 45.98%, 189 EVs
Others 1.4% PV, 0 EVs

Alabama: McCain 59, Obama 40, Other 1
Alaska: McCain 56, Obama 42, Other 2
Arizona: McCain 51, Obama 48, Other 1
Arkansas: McCain 54, Obama 45, Other 1
California: Obama 60, McCain 37, Other 3
Colorado: Obama 52, McCain 47, Other 1
Connecticut: Obama 58, McCain 40, Other 2
Delaware: Obama 61, McCain 37, Other 1
DC: Obama 90, McCain 8, Other 2
Florida: Obama 51, McCain 48, Other 1
Georgia: McCain 51, Obama 47, Other 2
Hawaii: Obama 66, McCain 32, Other 2
Idaho: McCain 62, Obama 36, Other 2
Illinois: Obama 60, McCain 39, Other 1
Indiana: McCain 51, Obama 48, Other 1
Iowa: Obama 55, McCain 43, Other 2
Kansas: McCain 57, Obama 41, Other 2
Kentucky: McCain 55, Obama 43, Other 2
Louisiana: McCain 56, Obama 43, Other 1
Maine: Obama 56, McCain 42, Other 2
Maryland: Obama 60, McCain 38, Other 2
Massachusetts: Obama 61, McCain 37, Other 2
Michigan: Obama 55, McCain 44, Other 1
Minnesota: Obama 55, McCain 43, Other 2
Mississippi: McCain 54, Obama 45, Other 1
Missouri: Obama <50, McCain 49, Other 1
Montana: McCain <50, Obama 47, Other 3
Nebraska: McCain 59, Obama 39, Other 2
Nevada: Obama 51, McCain 46, Other 3
New Hampshire: Obama 54, McCain 45, Other 1
New Jersey: Obama 57, McCain 42, Other 1
New Mexico: Obama 54, McCain 45, Other 1
New York: Obama 62, McCain 36, Other 2
North Carolina: McCain <50, Obama 49, Other 1
North Dakota: McCain 50, Obama 48, Other 2
Ohio: Obama 51, McCain 48, Other 1
Oklahoma: McCain 64, Obama 35, Other 1
Oregon: Obama 56, McCain 42, Other 2
Pennsylvania: Obama 53, McCain 46, Other 1
Rhode Island: Obama 60, McCain 38, Other 2
South Carolina: McCain 55, Obama 44, Other 1
South Dakota: McCain 54, Obama 44, Other 2
Tennessee: McCain 56, Obama 43, Other 1
Texas: McCain 55, Obama 44, Other 1
Utah: McCain 59, Obama 37, Other 4
Vermont: Obama 63, McCain 34, Other 3
Virginia: Obama 52, McCain 47, Other 1
Washington: Obama 56, McCain 42, Other 2
West Virginia: McCain 55, Obama 44, Other 1
Wisconsin: Obama 55, McCain 44, Other 1
Wyoming: McCain 61, Obama 37, Other 2

[Harry Hayfield]

I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

[Franzl]

I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

I think Lief predicted Indiana correctly.

[Lief 🗽]

I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

I think Lief predicted Indiana correctly.

Yep. But I got Missouri and Georgia wrong.

edit: Also NE-2 probably. I changed that at the last minute too. Damn.

[© tweed]

I got a few states wrong (I'd be surprised if anyone had IN without MO), but I'm pretty happy, despite running the table in '04.  my nationwide PV projection is likely to be just about dead-on at the end of the day; it's currently at 52.5-46.2 nationwide with a considerable amount of King, WA, and Multnomah, OR still hanging in the balance.

[Lunar]

I would be amazed if anyone gets 51 out of 51 states right. I don't think anyone even thought Indiana would be a gain. Myself I think I'm likely to get 49 (50 if Missouri's recount goes to Obama)

I had Indiana predicted correctly, but I thought that Obama would be able to eek out a win in MO.  MO + NE-2 = my two mistakes