Rasmussen State Polls 11/3
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Author Topic: Rasmussen State Polls 11/3  (Read 9348 times)
Rowan
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« on: November 03, 2008, 02:04:30 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2008, 02:08:52 PM by RowanBrandon »

VA
Obama 51%(nc)
McCain 47%(nc)

CO
Obama 51%(+1)
McCain 47%(+1)

MO
Obama 49%(+1)
McCain 49%(nc)

OH
McCain 49%(+4)
Obama 49%(nc)

NC
McCain 50%(+1)
Obama 49%(+1)

FL
McCain 50%(+3)
Obama 49%(-2)

http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/11/03/fox-newsrasmussen-reports-poll-mccain-narrows-gap-in-battleground-states/
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Rowan
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2008, 02:14:51 PM »

Going into election day with these kind of numbers, I'm a little more optimistic.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2008, 02:15:38 PM »

I look forward to the inevitable egg on the face of one Scott Rasmussen.
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Franzl
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2008, 02:16:07 PM »

Going into election day with these kind of numbers, I'm a little more optimistic.

is there anything that doesn't make you that?
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2008, 02:17:17 PM »

I look forward to the inevitable egg on the face of one Scott Rasmussen.

why? they're good numbers for us.
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Iosif
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2008, 02:17:39 PM »

Going into election day with these kind of numbers, I'm a little more optimistic.

Down 4 in VA and CO, down 6 in PA, tied in OH and MO, and up 1 in FL and NC. Down 6 nationally.

Yeah, I'd be optimistic too.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2008, 02:18:29 PM »

I look forward to the inevitable egg on the face of one Scott Rasmussen.

why? they're good numbers for us.

I think he's wrong in FL and Ohio.
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 02:19:04 PM »

Going into election day with these kind of numbers, I'm a little more optimistic.

only if they're accurate
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Rowan
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 02:19:34 PM »

I look forward to the inevitable egg on the face of one Scott Rasmussen.

why? they're good numbers for us.

I think he's wrong in FL and Ohio.

Of course you do hack.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2008, 02:19:59 PM »

Obama ahead in CO and VA, tied in MO, OH, FL and NC, and Rasmussen has a slight Republican tilt. I'm happy.
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2008, 02:20:40 PM »

11/2, not 11/3
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2008, 02:21:36 PM »

Going into election day with these kind of numbers, I'm a little more optimistic.

only if they're accurate

Actually, only if they're inaccurate. Unless rowan just cares about the Reps not getting hammered too badly.

Perhaps what he's caring about is McCain dragging down downballot Republicans - he needn't worry in that case. McCain's running well ahead of Generic Republican at 6 points down, and will run ahead of Congressional Republicans Tallied.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2008, 02:22:46 PM »

I find it funny, the NC polls Rasy did for Rasy had Obama up, but the ones they did for Fox has McCain up. Is Fox paying extra money to get results they want?
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2008, 02:23:12 PM »


Well today is the 3rd so I put 11/3.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2008, 02:24:03 PM »

I find it funny, the NC polls Rasy did for Rasy had Obama up, but the ones they did for Fox has McCain up. Is Fox paying extra money to get results they want?

Uhh, they were taken on different days. Wake up.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2008, 02:25:30 PM »

They're all over the place in Florida - they've gone

O+5
M+1
O+4
M+1

in their last four polls.

M-D are supposed to be the gold standard in Florida, and they are at O+2. I should also point out that the last 16 florida polls before this one have all been Obama leads, with one Zogby tie.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2008, 02:26:27 PM »

I find it funny, the NC polls Rasy did for Rasy had Obama up, but the ones they did for Fox has McCain up. Is Fox paying extra money to get results they want?

Uhh, they were taken on different days. Wake up.

No, because its like that with all the polls they did for Fox. They ended up being more pro-McCain then the polls they did on their own. Go back and look at the polls.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2008, 02:29:25 PM »

...scratches head...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2008, 02:31:32 PM »

I find it funny, the NC polls Rasy did for Rasy had Obama up, but the ones they did for Fox has McCain up. Is Fox paying extra money to get results they want?

That's incorrect.  Compare 10/19 (for FOX) to 10/23 (for himself)
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2008, 02:32:02 PM »

Also these number don't match up with Rasy daily national poll. I smell something very fishy.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2008, 02:34:07 PM »

I find it funny, the NC polls Rasy did for Rasy had Obama up, but the ones they did for Fox has McCain up. Is Fox paying extra money to get results they want?

That's incorrect.  Compare 10/19 (for FOX) to 10/23 (for himself)

On avg they have been more pro-McCain.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2008, 02:37:47 PM »

It's sad that Democrat hacks run unfettered throughout this forum. Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters we have. Yet, you all will argue that PPP is more accurate than Rasmussen. These polls are not awful for McCain. However, Virginia is still over 50% for Obama, as well as Colorado. North Carolina will come home to McCain, and I bet he wins Ohio and Florida too. I could be wrong, but both states are trending toward McCain in the final days. Still, this is the map we'll probably see:



Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2008, 02:44:07 PM »





Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Switch NV and NC and I agree with you.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2008, 02:46:35 PM »





Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Switch NV and NC and I agree with you.

North Carolina won't flip before Nevada. NC is the only state I am unsure about, because I know black and young people are turning out heavily early. It could flip, but polling is showing a trend back to McCain. It could be 50/50 on both the President and Governor's races, but I am almost certain Hagan wins by 4-5.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2008, 02:48:57 PM »





Obama 291-247

I doubt Obama wins by 11 nationwide like Gallup says.

Switch NV and NC and I agree with you.

North Carolina won't flip before Nevada. NC is the only state I am unsure about, because I know black and young people are turning out heavily early. It could flip, but polling is showing a trend back to McCain. It could be 50/50 on both the President and Governor's races, but I am almost certain Hagan wins by 4-5.

I agree President/Governor's races are 50/50, but Hagan wins by 5%
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