Real Bradley effect in this election

[J. J.]

Actually, this has nothing to do with the Bradley Effect.

[J. J.]

Actually, this has nothing to do with the Bradley Effect.

Actually, it does, although it approaches it differently.

Overall I'd like to believe this effect is true, but I think the real Bradley Effect will swing the election about .3% to McCain. r

Actually, it isn't, though it be voting for someone black but telling people ypu're voting for the white guy.

My guess is a 1-2 point Bradley Effect, but looking at 2006, 3-4 is more likely.

[J. J.]

Remember, Bradley ran for governor before the days of all of the polling that we have today.  Sure there are some who will fall into this category, but it must be a very few.  I doubt that thousands of people are consistantly fooling the polsters ALL of the time in ALL of the polls that are out their ALL the way through the campaign.  Bradly also did not register a googleplex of new voters.

But Wilder didn't, nor did Patrick, Steele or Blackwell.

[J. J.]

Remember, Bradley ran for governor before the days of all of the polling that we have today.  Sure there are some who will fall into this category, but it must be a very few.  I doubt that thousands of people are consistantly fooling the polsters ALL of the time in ALL of the polls that are out their ALL the way through the campaign.  Bradly also did not register a googleplex of new voters.

But Wilder didn't, nor did Patrick, Steele or Blackwell.

Nor did Patrick, Steele or Blackwell overpoll outside of the MoE (or overpoll at all in Patrick's case.)

Actually, in all cases, their opponents did.  We'll know in about 60 hours.