Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer

[Ty440]

LOL at all you Obama supporters saying PA was out of reach for MAC. SO Mason-Dixon and RAS say it's a 4 point race. We all know Obama underperformed by almost 3%  in the final RCP average in the primary. So right now on my map I'm shifting PA back to a pure tossup!

[Ty440]

LOL at all you Obama supporters saying PA was out of reach for MAC. SO Mason-Dixon and RAS say it's a 4 point race. We all know Obama underperformed by almost 3%  in the final RCP average in the primary. So right now on my map I'm shifting PA back to a pure tossup!

Can someone explain how in the hell can you have accurate polling on Halloween on  a Friday night. I'm discounting any bump for any candidate in the tracking polls today.

Golden Boy 1 meet Golden Boy 2....

Hate to break it to you.....

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 30, 2008.

[Ty440]

There is one thing.  

I made two two assumptions:

1.  There is a Bradley Effect.

2.  The net result will be 1-2 points.

I gave the state to Obama based on that.

In three of the four races that I looked at in 2006, it was arguably in the 3-4 point range.

If I were Obama, I'd be very worried that I was only at 75% in Phila.

"Miracle on the Monongahela?"   I'm still not calling it.

May I channel Al Michaels.. Do you believe in miracles YES!!!!!.

In all seriousness it's still advantage Obama, Mccain hasn't lead in a PA poll since what spring?
But i think everyone can admit Mccain is surging here and has a very remote outside shot.