Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer

[Franzl]

Lord have mercy...

I've said before, that while I believe a McCain win is not likely in PA, that it was indeed the state I have been most worried about.

This poll does nothing to comfort.

[Franzl]

I don't think it's a good idea to question the legitimacy of the poll...We've seen tightening in Pennsylvania in many polls, and it should be our top priority to defend the state.

If we win Pennsylvania, we win the election.

[Franzl]

Obama numbers in last three Rasmussen polls: 54, 53, 51
McCain numbers in last three Rasmussen polls: 41, 46, 47

The statistical margin of error is 5%.

Make of that whatever you feel like. But please try to be rational. Hah. No hope there I think...

no hope for which candidate, Al?

[Franzl]

LOL at all you Obama supporters saying PA was out of reach for MAC. SO Mason-Dixon and RAS say it's a 4 point race. We all know Obama underperformed by almost 3%  in the final RCP average in the primary. So right now on my map I'm shifting PA back to a pure tossup!

and his current RCP Average is +8.5, just so ya know.

[Franzl]

I wonder if the Dow on next Monday would have an impact.

For the last time, people don't vote based on the daily flunctuations of the DOW.

I agree with the above - sometiumes you have to think outside of the box of the forum. No one gives a sh-t about the DOW - it's the two 'g's' Gas and Groceries.

Could low gas prices be helping Mac, then?

[Franzl]

There is a 5% MoE. That means Obama could be up by 9% or McCain could be up by 1%.

wrong, Obama could be up by 14%, or McCain could be up by 6%, theoretically.