Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not that I think we'll lose Pennsylvania, but...

Obama victory

If this happens, McCain will NEED Nevada or else he's toast.

And Obama will need NV, CO, and VA.  Those are not assured.

The last real poll (read: non-ARG) that has McCain up in Colorado is back in mid-September. The same applies to Nevada for a poll that isn't ARG or a uni. He also hasn't led in VA since very early October and that was M-D which has consistently tilted toward him.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not that I think we'll lose Pennsylvania, but...

Obama victory

If this happens, McCain will NEED Nevada or else he's toast.

And Obama will need NV, CO, and VA.  Those are not assured.

The last real poll (read: non-ARG) that has McCain up in Colorado is back in mid-September. The same applies to Nevada for a poll that isn't ARG or a uni. He also hasn't led in VA since very early October and that was M-D which has consistently tilted toward him.

BRTD, those have not been assured.  They are close, like PA.

I'm not a fan of the "win PA" strategy, but it could work.  I don't give the countermeasures, CO, NV, and VA as being a good strategy.  It's probably worse than the "win PA" strategy.

Obama is over 50 in each one and has a lead outside the MoE. That is not "close". Same with PA too though of course.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Anybody see the crosstabs of this poll?

LOL.

Yeah apparentely McCain's movement in it has come basically exclusively from blacks. LOL.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I read on 538 some guy says his wife is a doctor in Philly. Apparently every single black who had an appointment at her hospital on election day rescheduled. They don't want anything to possibly prevent them from voting. No person had ever canceled an appointment on election day for such a reason in the 30 years she's worked.

(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And of course J. J. conveniently flips Nevada, where Obama has a larger lead than in PA.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).

LOL.

Yes 99% of your predictions when you and I disagree have been correct...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).

LOL.

Yes 99% of your predictions when you and I disagree have been correct...

Correct

I'm glad we finally agree on something. Maybe you're not brain dead.

No, the brain dead one is the one who doesn't understand sarcasm.

How about a little memory refresh:



How about we also take a closer look at this very poll and note who is being polled. I don't see Hillary Clinton's name anywhere...