Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer

[Nym90]

Democrats underpolled in PA in both 2004 and 2006. For what it's worth.

[Nym90]

Barack, you're looking great here. Don't revise the schedule.

Hey, PA still going for Obama by double digits, guys?

Even Clinton never won it by double digits so anyone expecting that for Obama was a bit optimistic. Though if Obama is up by 8 nationally (average of Rasmussen and Gallup trackers) then he is up by 10 in PA (at least). The idea of PA being more Republican than the nation as a whole for the first time in 60 years is something I'll have to see to believe.....I do expect the undecideds to break for McCain by about 60-40, so it should narrow by a point or two in both the national and state polls.

[Nym90]

Hopefully Mason-Dixon will poll PA again. They were the only pollster to nail 2004 in PA (everyone else was too Republican, well, excluding West Chester University....) and in 2006 they were the most accurate pollster in the state as well, though of course everyone was way too Republican.

[Nym90]

New Hampshire? Granted, I don't believe the uni poll that had Obama up by 25, but even Zogby interactive couldn't be off by as much as that.