Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer
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Author Topic: Rasmussen Pennsylvania: Closer and Closer  (Read 18563 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #100 on: November 01, 2008, 10:05:43 PM »

This would be a pretty Ironic map-

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J. J.
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« Reply #101 on: November 01, 2008, 10:45:07 PM »

Not scientific, but worth mentioning.... the Obama campaign is asking us to go to VA.

I guess Barack's ground game is all set in PA.

His groud game, in my area, has something to be desired.  I posted it on the main board.
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J. J.
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« Reply #102 on: November 01, 2008, 10:47:20 PM »

Nick and Phil, I'd suggest you read this thread:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=87295.0

Please remember that I live in a ward that is greater than 95% black.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #103 on: November 01, 2008, 11:19:59 PM »

Nick and Phil, I'd suggest you read this thread:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=87295.0

Please remember that I live in a ward that is greater than 95% black.

I don't think that that matters much. They're already highly enthusiastic on their own. They'll be out in full force unless we get really bad weather and they trust the polls. Even then, they're "ready to make history."
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J. J.
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« Reply #104 on: November 01, 2008, 11:29:46 PM »

Nick and Phil, I'd suggest you read this thread:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=87295.0

Please remember that I live in a ward that is greater than 95% black.

I don't think that that matters much. They're already highly enthusiastic on their own. They'll be out in full force unless we get really bad weather and they trust the polls. Even then, they're "ready to make history."

A good local guy can boost turnout.  I hope to be able to post by 3:00 PM (and if I don't turnout will be through the roof.
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« Reply #105 on: November 01, 2008, 11:30:52 PM »

I read on 538 some guy says his wife is a doctor in Philly. Apparently every single black who had an appointment at her hospital on election day rescheduled. They don't want anything to possibly prevent them from voting. No person had ever canceled an appointment on election day for such a reason in the 30 years she's worked.

(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)
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memphis
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« Reply #106 on: November 01, 2008, 11:36:52 PM »

This would be a pretty Ironic unlikely map-


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J. J.
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« Reply #107 on: November 01, 2008, 11:41:59 PM »

I read on 538 some guy says his wife is a doctor in Philly. Apparently every single black who had an appointment at her hospital on election day rescheduled. They don't want anything to possibly prevent them from voting. No person had ever canceled an appointment on election day for such a reason in the 30 years she's worked.

(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

We'll know in less than 72 hours.

In 2000, turnout in my precinct was around 140 at 2:00 PM.  In 2004, it was 170. 
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exopolitician
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« Reply #108 on: November 01, 2008, 11:45:16 PM »


This map offends me.
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J. J.
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« Reply #109 on: November 01, 2008, 11:54:19 PM »

If PA goes McCain (and I'm still betting it won't), the map would look like this:



You cold be be talking about adding CO and NH.
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Nym90
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« Reply #110 on: November 02, 2008, 12:02:55 AM »

New Hampshire? Granted, I don't believe the uni poll that had Obama up by 25, but even Zogby interactive couldn't be off by as much as that.
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BRTD
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« Reply #111 on: November 02, 2008, 12:28:24 AM »

And of course J. J. conveniently flips Nevada, where Obama has a larger lead than in PA.
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cinyc
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« Reply #112 on: November 02, 2008, 12:34:53 AM »

And of course J. J. conveniently flips Nevada, where Obama has a larger lead than in PA.

I wouldn't trust any Nevada poll.  The state is very difficult to poll because it's so rapidly growing.

For what it's worth, McCain and Palin will hold the last rallies in Nevada - they are visiting every media market in the state on Monday.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #113 on: November 02, 2008, 01:08:54 AM »


(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).
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BRTD
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« Reply #114 on: November 02, 2008, 01:14:20 AM »


(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).

LOL.

Yes 99% of your predictions when you and I disagree have been correct...
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #115 on: November 02, 2008, 01:15:58 AM »


(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).

LOL.

Yes 99% of your predictions when you and I disagree have been correct...

Correct

I'm glad we finally agree on something. Maybe you're not brain dead.
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BRTD
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« Reply #116 on: November 02, 2008, 01:17:28 AM »


(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).

LOL.

Yes 99% of your predictions when you and I disagree have been correct...

Correct

I'm glad we finally agree on something. Maybe you're not brain dead.

No, the brain dead one is the one who doesn't understand sarcasm.

How about a little memory refresh:



How about we also take a closer look at this very poll and note who is being polled. I don't see Hillary Clinton's name anywhere...
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #117 on: November 02, 2008, 01:27:50 AM »


(Yes I know it's ancedotal evidence but that's all Phil ever gives.)

Trolling, trolling, trolling.

I love when I win and you lose (roughly the case 99% of the time).

LOL.

Yes 99% of your predictions when you and I disagree have been correct...

Correct

I'm glad we finally agree on something. Maybe you're not brain dead.

No, the brain dead one is the one who doesn't understand sarcasm.


LOL

Wow. Uh...look whose talking...

This kid really must have some serious mental problems. I pray that he gets the help he so desperately needs.
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Mr.Jones
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« Reply #118 on: November 02, 2008, 01:44:37 AM »

Obama is back rolling up in the national polls. I am sure he is going up in PA now too as we speak Smiley .
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #119 on: November 02, 2008, 01:46:46 AM »

8 pages. Wow. Some of you guys are looney tunes.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #120 on: November 02, 2008, 01:48:07 AM »

8 pages. Wow. Some of you guys are looney tunes.

Says the one who made it 9 ...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #121 on: November 02, 2008, 02:00:31 AM »

8 pages. Wow. Some of you guys are looney tunes.

Says the one who made it 9 ...

Isn't a full page... yet.
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The Duke
JohnD.Ford
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« Reply #122 on: November 02, 2008, 02:31:15 AM »

Even if McCain wins PA, he is still likely to lose.

This map is 270-268 with McCain winning PA, OH, FL, NC, IN, and MO.



Let's face reality, unless we get Pennsylvania AND one one of VA-NV-CO, we still lose the race.  PA is not enough.

And while the gap is narrowing in PA, Obama is still ahead.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #123 on: November 02, 2008, 02:33:48 AM »

New Hampshire? Granted, I don't believe the uni poll that had Obama up by 25, but even Zogby interactive couldn't be off by as much as that.

Yes it could.
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J. J.
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« Reply #124 on: November 02, 2008, 08:16:11 AM »

New Hampshire? Granted, I don't believe the uni poll that had Obama up by 25, but even Zogby interactive couldn't be off by as much as that.

Would you care to tell me how well the polls were in NH in the primary?

It is an almost impossible place to poll.

Just announced, Obama is sending out urgent requests for volunteers in PA.
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