Which is more likely for mccain: Win PA or win VA+CO (user search)
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  Which is more likely for mccain: Win PA or win VA+CO (search mode)
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Poll
Question: McCain is more likely to win
#1
PA
 
#2
VA and CO
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 37

Author Topic: Which is more likely for mccain: Win PA or win VA+CO  (Read 1917 times)
TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« on: October 22, 2008, 02:46:03 PM »

VA+CO, but not by much.
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TheGlobalizer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,286
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13

« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2008, 02:55:46 PM »


+1 unfortunately.

He has announced a pullback in ad spending in CO, and VA is like...ultra blue.  How a state polling +30 or more for their democratic senator wouldnt at least go Obama+1 is beyond me.

Thats not to say I think PA goes red, just I think Nate Silver's 10,000 simulations model would probably show more instances of PA victory vs CO+VA victory.

Agree with the sentiment, but Mark Warner is a borderline demigod in VA, Gilmore is a bad candidate in this political climate, and Obama is considerably to the left of Warner.
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