Mason-Dixon: Obama leads in Virginia, McCain in Florida

[jamestroll]

J.J. is the typical republican who believes every election will be exactly like 2000 and 2004 forever, in every single precinct in the country, regardless of the candidates and circumstances.

Only NH, IA, and NM are competitive to him..

[J. J.]

I really think that we are looking at a 2000 situation in terms of who wins what.  Maybe 5 states will flip.

however, unless you honestly think that McCain can take a Kerry state....you must be convinced of an overall Obama victory.

I think that the range, even looking at the polling, will show no more than 5 states changing from 2000.  None or one might.

None. No states will be different from 2000. You are such a tool JJ

It's quite possible; McCain was in NH today, so it's viable.  I could see a virtual repeat of 2000 in terms of who gets what.  A single loss for McCain gets Obama elected.  A single surprise loss for Obama, MN, WI, NM or PA could toss it to McCain.  I give the edge to McCain now, but I expect it to be very close in terms of EV's.

Last time, we had 3 changes, remarkably stable.

[Torie]

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[Franzl]

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^^^^^^^^

LOL!

[Horus]

Is it just me, or does M-D seem a few points Republican friendly this year?

[J. J.]

Is it just me, or does M-D seem a few points Republican friendly this year?

I think M-D has tended to be behind Rasmussen so far as McCain's numbers.

[classical liberal]

Is it just me, or does M-D seem a few points Republican friendly this year?

They were more McCain than others in VA and CO, but more Obama than others in FL.  This is their first poll out of FL this cycle that has McCain beating Obama.

[opebo]

Obviously these numbers suggest that it is very likely McCain will win both these states.

Because he's not a black.

Yeah, we get it, opebo. 

Moreover, he is the anti-black, Glob-balizer.

[TheGlobalizer]

Obviously these numbers suggest that it is very likely McCain will win both these states.

Because he's not a black.

Yeah, we get it, opebo. 

Moreover, he is the anti-black, Glob-balizer.

Sweet!  I'm going to vote for him...TWICE.