FL: Public Policy Polling: Obama up by 1%

[Josh/Devilman88]

New Poll: Florida President by Public Policy Polling on 2008-10-20

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, I: 0%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Reasonable.

[Rowan]

The party ID in this poll actually seems reasonable. Good job PPP. Looks like a good poll.

[Brittain33]

That's nice. They had me worried about Florida being worse than Indiana for Obama when that poll was close enough as it was.

[Wiz in Wis]

What will kill McCain is that he can't continue to compete in expensive states until Nov 4, and he cannot cede OH, FL, or even PA. Combined with ground game and early voting, McCain needs to lead in FL by 3 on election day to pull it out.

[Eraserhead]

Whites- 55%-39% McCain

Hispanics- 50%-46% McCain

Blacks- 91%-8% Obama

[TheresNoMoney]

Hispanics 50%-46% McCain

I would expect Obama to win Hispanics statewide. Am I right?

[Eraserhead]

Hispanics 50%-46% McCain

I would expect Obama to win Hispanics statewide. Am I right?

Not in Florida.

[TheresNoMoney]

Not in Florida.

I know everyone talks about the Cubans, but I didn't think they made up the majority of Hispanics in Florida.

[Brittain33]

Not in Florida.

I know everyone talks about the Cubans, but I didn't think they made up the majority of Hispanics in Florida.

I forget what the totals are, but it needn't be a majority to get this result. If you average up high Republican voting among Cuban-Americans, low voting rates among other Latinos (Puerto Ricans aside), Republican voting by some other Latino ethnicities in Florida (Venezuelan, Colombian), and the fact that a sizable minority of non-Cuban Latinos votes Republican anyway, it makes sense.