NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 11:19:10 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NM: Survey USA: Obama remains ahead of McCain, leads early voters by a wide margin  (Read 1634 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 14, 2008, 11:32:03 PM »

New Poll: New Mexico President by Survey USA on 2008-10-13

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, I: 2%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details


Early voters (10% of the sample):

Obama - 60%
McCain - 37%
Logged
Vsanto5
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 290
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: 3.23

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2008, 11:46:20 PM »

I am actually going to NM from Thursday through Monday doing door to door in Las Cruces, NM luckily its kinda already leaning Obama.  Anything is better than Texas though.
Logged
MR maverick
MR politics
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 585
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2008, 11:56:50 PM »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?
Logged
Vsanto5
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 290
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: 3.23

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2008, 12:03:38 AM »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?

Texas Hispanics are so disorganized and misinformed on the issues, and I am not just saying this because they aren't all voting Democratic but because we as a group have a very low turnout which pisses me off.  I mean even if they vote Republican I don't care as long as we are voting.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2008, 12:05:47 AM »

Seems like obama should be close in Texas if he's winning the Hispanic vote 2-1?

Obama winning Texas and he could tell PA to go f it self.

Wonder if Hillary would be doing better or if he picked Richardson as Vp?

It seems Hispanics in TX are more conservative than Hispanics in NM.

Let's see what happens if Obama wins 60% of TX Hispanics on Election Day, using 2004 composition:

White (66%): Obama 25%
Hispanic (20%): Obama 60%
African-American (12%): Obama 95%
Others (2%): Obama 60%

Obama gets 41% of the vote in TX.

If Obama manages to increase Latino or African-American tunout, or get close to 30% among Whites, he could move up to about 45% of the vote overall.
Logged
??????????
StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2008, 12:07:04 AM »

I mean even if they vote Republican I don't care as long as we are voting.

That's an excellent attitude and one I applaud.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2008, 12:18:05 AM »

Are those really the sort of turnout numbers one would expect for Hispanics in New Mexico? Yikes. Or do a lot of the Spanish-ancestry-identifying "Hispanics" call themselves white?
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,357
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2008, 12:32:33 AM »

Obama's campaign has really organized early voting very well here.   I've been badgered about it on the streets about 7 times within the past two weeks by 7 different people in 3 different (highly Democratic) counties. 

That's good for them, especially in rural areas.  New Mexican Democrats are horrible at turning out on Election Day.  I think there are probably more Democrats than Independents and Republicans combined, but the Indies and Republicans actually take the time to show up while us Dems are busy getting high on meth and eating pinto beans every November.
Logged
MR maverick
MR politics
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 585
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2008, 02:10:23 AM »

Why are they more Conservative? 

The GOP uses them like a panta when their voters in the redneck south start complaining about their jobs being took.

Its like the Gop only likes the Mexican vote when they need to hold Texas and AZ after the elections then its back to " Those damn illegals".
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2008, 09:24:25 AM »

You know that something weird is going on with SUSA when their NM poll looks like the best sample of the last few.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2008, 09:27:37 AM »

Republican 37% (35%): McCain 84% (85%); Obama 13% (13%)

Democrat 50% (50%): McCain 16% (17%); Obama 81% (79%)

Independent 13% (13%): McCain 46% (37%); Obama 49% (53%)

Conservative 30% (27%): McCain 82% (79%); Obama 16% (18%)

Moderate 37% (42%): McCain 36% (36%); Obama 60% (60%)

Liberal 14% (14%): McCain 11% (9%); Obama 88% (88%)

Top issue - the economy 57% (57%): Obama 57% (55%); McCain 41% (41%)

(denotes SUSA, Sep. 29-30, 2008)
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 15 queries.