NV: Mason-Dixon: Obama slightly ahead of McCain

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Nevada President by Mason-Dixon on 2008-10-10

Summary: D: 47%, R: 45%, I: 2%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

I'll take it.

[Sbane]

 Nevada's pro-mccain disposition as compared to the national environment continues. I really don't trust polls out of this state though and there is a real chance Obama's numbers are being lowballed. The only poll I will trust out of NV is the one on Nov 4th.

[MR maverick]

Seems like NV should always go for the Democrat.

Then again Big money = you have to vote republican regardless, unless youre some libreal hollywood nut.

Clintion won it in 92, so maybe since its kinda like 92 again the same will happen.

Obama wins CO and NV and its pretty much over assuming he holds every Kerry state.

[muon2]

Seems like NV should always go for the Democrat.

Then again Big money = you have to vote republican regardless, unless youre some libreal hollywood nut.

Clinton won it in 92, so maybe since its kinda like 92 again the same will happen.

Obama wins CO and NV and its pretty much over assuming he holds every Kerry state.

NV was one of Perot's best states in 92 and was a significant factor in the result (37-35-26). Even in 96 Perot was a factor in Clinton's win in NV.

[© tweed]

MD doesn't much like to push the leaners...

[Ronnie]

I'll take it.

Me too.  This poll indicates NV is about 4 points more GOP than the national average.

[Rococo4]

I'll take it.

Me too.  This poll indicates NV is about 4 points more GOP than the national average.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is more about polarization than how Nevada is to the national average. Much like how in a total blowout of a Democrat, Mississippi could end easily end up more Dem than the national average (since the Dem would still get blacks, and thus has a higher floor in Mississippi than most swing states.)

[classical liberal]

As I expected.

I really don't trust pollsters who push undecideds this far out.

[Lunar]

Nevada has the lowest turnout in the country, if I remember correctly.

A historically low-turnout state with a population that is at home at irregular hours is difficult to poll...