PA: Survey USA: Obama up 15 in PA (user search)
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  PA: Survey USA: Obama up 15 in PA (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: Survey USA: Obama up 15 in PA  (Read 2738 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: October 07, 2008, 01:12:48 PM »

McCain loses 21% of Republicans? Yeah right. Plus exit polls had the state as D+2, this D+11 party ID doesn't pass the smell test.

I wouldn't be so sure about it:

In 2004, Democrats had a 7% registration advantage and the exit polls showed a 2% advantage for them.

In 2006, Democrats also had a 7% registration advantage in PA, and exit polls showed them with a 5% lead.

In 2008, the registraion advantage grew to 14% ...

So, if the additional 7% are added to the 2006 numbers, what is the result ?
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