OH-PPP: With 4 weeks to go, it's Obama by 6
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  OH-PPP: With 4 weeks to go, it's Obama by 6
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Author Topic: OH-PPP: With 4 weeks to go, it's Obama by 6  (Read 761 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 07, 2008, 01:58:25 PM »

Obama - 49%
McCain - 43%

PPP surveyed 1,239 likely voters on October 4th and 5th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-2.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_1007785.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2008, 02:04:58 PM »

The internals of this poll are much like the ones from Rasmussen yesterday. McCain actually leads among Independents. The difference between the 2 polls (Rasmussen: McCain+1) is probably the fact that Rasmussen weights and PPP not: They have a 10% Democratic advantage in their poll. The true state of the race is maybe in between.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2008, 02:09:42 PM »

Democrats have a party ID advantage of 10? ok...

Also, Rasmussen doesn't weight his state polls by party.  Lest I have to eliminate that myth again.

Although his party ID of yesterday pretty much matches the 2006 exit poll. (D+3)
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