What will be the closest state this year, Part III
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  What will be the closest state this year, Part III
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Poll
Question: ...
#1
New Hampshire
 
#2
Pennsylvania
 
#3
Ohio
 
#4
Virginia
 
#5
North Carolina
 
#6
Florida
 
#7
Missouri
 
#8
Iowa
 
#9
Wisconsin
 
#10
Michigan
 
#11
Indiana
 
#12
Colorado
 
#13
New Mexico
 
#14
Nevada
 
#15
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: What will be the closest state this year, Part III  (Read 11240 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« on: October 01, 2008, 07:10:33 PM »

Our last winner was Colorado, which beat Virginia 18-15 out of 54 votes cast.

This time, like last time, I say Virginia.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2008, 07:13:03 PM »

Assuming an Obama victory, then the close states will be the 2nd tier of GOP swing states. I will go with NC
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2008, 10:08:08 PM »

NC, if Obama wins by the margin he is polling at right now.
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big bad fab
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2008, 04:45:40 AM »

Surprisingly, NV, with Obama very narrowly ahead.

VA isn't any longer the tipping point state: it has swung already.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2008, 07:44:52 AM »

I thought I was being contrarian with picking Nevada but I guess everyone is thinking the same thing.
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SPQR
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2008, 11:32:12 AM »

Nevada,with Obama winning by less than 1%.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2008, 09:48:02 PM »

I still can't bring myself to think North Carolina of all places is a tossup/swingstate.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2008, 09:48:39 PM »

Virginia.
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JSojourner
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2008, 09:45:55 AM »

I still can't bring myself to think North Carolina of all places is a tossup/swingstate.

Me either.  I say Virginia.  Still.

Not to say NC won't be closer than it's been in years.  But tossup or lean Obama?  I have a hard time imagining that.  A lot of Yankees are moving to Charlotte but not THAT quickly.  Hell, it's taken Virginia 20 years to get to this point and it's still not a given...
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2008, 11:52:09 AM »

I still can't bring myself to think North Carolina of all places is a tossup/swingstate.

Me either.  I say Virginia.  Still.

Not to say NC won't be closer than it's been in years.  But tossup or lean Obama?  I have a hard time imagining that.  A lot of Yankees are moving to Charlotte but not THAT quickly.  Hell, it's taken Virginia 20 years to get to this point and it's still not a given...

It's not just that, the bigger cities in North Carolina have became more open and free sprited about things. I mean just take Greensboro for example. Greensboro has a big GLBT population now, and people don't seem to care if you are  GLBT  anymore.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2008, 02:11:16 PM »

voted NC, Indiana a close second
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2008, 03:23:19 PM »

Missourah, with Indiana a close second, and North Carolina in third.
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exopolitician
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« Reply #12 on: October 03, 2008, 03:27:23 PM »

Indiana.....really?
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
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« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2008, 05:08:52 PM »

GA...Obama will win the PV by at least 9% and have at least 375 EV

this is going to get real ugly real fast.  I'd place McCain's chances of winning somewhere around 2%
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2008, 05:36:02 PM »

GA...Obama will win the PV by at least 9% and have at least 375 EV

this is going to get real ugly real fast.  I'd place McCain's chances of winning somewhere around 2%

at one point you had GWB's 2004 chances at 20%.  "what's that hissing sound?"
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2008, 06:01:14 PM »

     Virginia. I expect Palin to galvanize theocons enough to keep it within 1%, though Obama will most likely win.
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Torie
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« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2008, 09:02:20 PM »

It is going to be Missouri, as McCain loses the election by 5%. Just a wild guess.
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Politico
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2008, 02:33:22 AM »

If McCain does not reverse the trend, I think Indiana, Missouri or North Carolina will be the one. If things get back to the way they were two weeks ago, I think it will be Ohio or Florida. If Obama gets yet another bounce, I suspect that Montana, North Dakota or Georgia will be the one.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2008, 02:49:38 AM »

If Obama gets yet another bounce, I suspect that Montana, North Dakota or Georgia will be the one.

Are you the one who advised Kucinich to stop being so centrist?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2008, 02:53:55 AM »

I'd say Ohio. I think Obama will win Kerry + IA + NM + CO + NV + VA. I'm not sure who will win OH. McCain wins the rest.
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cannonia
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« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2008, 10:03:24 AM »

I'm sticking with Missouri.
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Јas
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« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2008, 10:14:43 AM »

I'm sticking with Ohio.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2008, 06:10:48 PM »

Wow.  NV, VA and NC are tied for the lead; I sure wouldn't have predicted that back in June.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2008, 09:05:28 PM »

I honestly don't really care anymore, but I'm taking a wild stab in the dark and saying Florida.
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opebo
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« Reply #24 on: October 10, 2008, 02:21:26 PM »

I voted Missouri, but it could just as easily be Indiana or North Carolina.
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