OH: Survey USA: McCain leads 49%-48%

[Thomas Jackson]

http://www.whiotv.com/politics/17588559/detail.html

Today, it's McCain 49%, Obama 48 -- McCain's nominal 1-point lead within the survey's 3.8 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 15 days ago, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is flat.

Filtering: WHIO-TV/SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Ohio adults 09/28/08 and 09/29/08. Of the adults, 819 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 693 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Interviews conducted during an unprecedented time of financial and political turmoil.

Ohio has 20 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried Ohio by 2 points in 2004 and by 4 points in 2000.

Asked of 693 Likely Voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.8%

[JohnCA246]

Man this state is stubborn.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Entered.

[Wiz in Wis]

Well, at this point, if Ohio goes Obama, I assume so did 2 out of Florida, Virginia and North Carolina, so it won't matter

[TheresNoMoney]

Early voting in OH starts today! I think Obama will take Ohio.

[The Ex-Factor]

Man this state is stubborn.

Yeah, I think no matter what it's destined to be a tease swing state that falls home for the Republicans in the end.

check this out:
"Among voters who are younger than Barack Obama, Obama and McCain were and are tied. Among voters older than John McCain, McCain was leading by 10. Now, Obama and McCain are tied among these voters."

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It's strange to see Ohio hasnt moved into the Ohio column despite his national lead. We should've seen signs of it flipping by now if it's going to go for Obama.

[Aizen]

god damn it just flip already. jesus christ.

[Joe Republic]

It's strange to see Ohio hasnt moved into the Ohio column despite his national lead.

Ohio has been in the Ohio column for some time now.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Unfortunately, Southern Ohio is going to keep Obama form even opening up any kind of discernible lead in the state.  Still, based on voter enthusiasm going into election day, I'm gonna say Obama carries Ohio by 2.5 pts.

[Kalimantan]

Ohio is tough isn' it. I think Indiana is more likely for Obama right now.

[JohnCA246]

I'm feeling good about our chances here, but feel a lot better that we have a backup plan this year.

[Eraserhead]

Ohio is clearly not interested in voting for a black.

[JohnCA246]

Well if the subsamples are to be believed, Obama is doing slightly better with older folks than younger ones. 

I think all these subsamples get mixed up a bit, but one stat I do believe is that only 2% are undecided. 

I'm predicting Obama to win here, barring a change in McCain's national numbers.

[Keystone Phil]

Obama has been up about six to eight points over the last few days and McCain is still leading?

This one isn't flipping, folks.

[Reds4]

I would be absolutely shocked if Indiana goes for Obama and Ohio doesn't. Ohio will almost certainly end up more democratic than Indiana.

Ohio is tough isn' it. I think Indiana is more likely for Obama right now.

[Democratic Hawk]

Republican 37% (35%): McCain 89% (89%); Obama 9% (7%)

Democrat 43% (44%): McCain 17% (19%); Obama 80% (77%)

Independent 16% (17%): McCain 46% (45%); Obama 48% (44%)

Conservative 31% (30%): McCain 85% (80%); Obama 12% (17%)

Moderate 38% (37%): McCain 44% (44%); Obama 53% (51%)

Liberal 14% (13%): McCain 15% (17%); Obama 83% (77%)

Top issue - the economy 65% (58%): Obama 52% (52%); McCain 45% (44%)

(denotes SUSA, Sep. 12-14, 2008)