FL: Survey USA: McCain 48, Obama 47 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 05:40:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  FL: Survey USA: McCain 48, Obama 47 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: FL: Survey USA: McCain 48, Obama 47  (Read 2814 times)
emailking
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,243
« on: September 29, 2008, 11:04:04 PM »

blacks 79-21 Obama. Slight reverse bradley effect?

Sample size of 60. People need to remember subsamples are not polls in and of themselves.

True but it does affect the topline doesnt it.

A subsample only matters to the overall poll if they do weighting on the subsample. In theory the participants are random and then everything we see as a special subsample is completely meaningless. The black/white vote may be off, but then so may be the the votes of of the 60-68 year old men who color their hair. It all averages out to within the overall MOE.

Now if in this poll they take the vote of blacks and inflate/deflate it to account for sampling difficulties, then it matters.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.017 seconds with 14 queries.