MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
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  MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama
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Author Topic: MO: Survey USA: McCain barely ahead of Obama  (Read 1057 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: September 26, 2008, 12:34:59 AM »

New Poll: Missouri President by Survey USA on 2008-09-24

Summary: D: 46%, R: 48%, I: 4%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2008, 12:41:34 AM »

Obama probably needs to win at least 44% of Whites here, 95% of African-Americans and 70% of Latinos/Asians to win the state.

Whites (86%): Obama 44%
African-Americans (10%): Obama 95%
Others (4%): Obama 70%

And Obama wins MO with 50.1% ...
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2008, 12:55:11 AM »

It's not this close.  McCain's got it.
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memphis
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2008, 01:01:32 AM »

Obama won't win here unless he breaks 300 EV. Fairly unlikely as things stand right now. He'd have to replicate McCaskill's success in not getting demolished in rural areas, while winning St. Louis County decisively.
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Lunar
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2008, 01:01:57 AM »

SUSA's QUALITY AS A POLLSTER IN LUNAR'S BRAIN

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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2008, 03:19:26 AM »

Anyway, we absolutely need to have more Missouri polls.... and Indiana, and NC, and WV, and even..... Arizona polls.

McCain may be really savaged, come November, so some more polls in this next "ring" of states would be needed to be a bit less worried....
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2008, 07:21:33 AM »

If Obama is leading by about 2-3% nationally, MO should be pretty close.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2008, 08:07:36 AM »

SUSA's QUALITY AS A POLLSTER IN LUNAR'S BRAIN



Yup. I'm taking no particular pleasure in this poll.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2008, 06:34:42 PM »

Republican 32% (36%): McCain 89% (87%); Obama 8% (10%)

Democrat 38% (38%): McCain 14% (12%); Obama 82% (83%)

Independent 23% (20%): McCain 48% (55%); Obama 41% (34%)

Conservative 32% (37%): McCain 85% (86%); Obama 11% (10%)

Moderate 36% (35%): McCain 36% (32%); Obama 58% (61%)

Liberal 14% (12%): McCain 11% (11%); Obama 85% (85%)

(denotes SUSA, Jul. 29-31, 2008)
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