ME: Survey USA: Obama Leads ME by 5% (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 11:41:53 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  ME: Survey USA: Obama Leads ME by 5% (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ME: Survey USA: Obama Leads ME by 5%  (Read 1594 times)
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,731


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: September 25, 2008, 12:48:26 AM »

I said this about the SUSA poll that showed Obama +11 in IA.


It seems SUSA might be using a methodology that prizes...ah.. excitement.. over accuracy at this point in the game?  They never seem to produce a "blah" poll, everything is either showing WA/ME/whatever within the margin of error or swing states blasting away from competitiveness

They use an exciting methodology called a sample size of 675, the MOE is 4%. An Obama lead of 12% in ME and 4% in IA would be in their 95% confidence interval.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.018 seconds with 14 queries.