Mason-Dixon Virginia: McCain 47, Obama 44
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  Mason-Dixon Virginia: McCain 47, Obama 44		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Mason-Dixon Virginia: McCain 47, Obama 44  (Read 2710 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: September 24, 2008, 08:39:29 AM »
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video_log/2008/09/new_poll_in_virginia.html

(conducted Sept. 17-22, 625 LV, 4.0 MOE)
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2008, 08:57:40 AM »
Ha ha. Now no one is happy with Mason-Dixon. Smiley
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jmfcst
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2008, 09:02:12 AM »
Quote from: brittain33 on September 24, 2008, 08:57:40 AM
Ha ha. Now no one is happy with Mason-Dixon. Smiley

no, the lead is within the MOE, meaning it is a tossup.  Tossup seems correct to me.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2008, 09:03:15 AM »
Quote from: jmfcst on September 24, 2008, 09:02:12 AM
Quote from: brittain33 on September 24, 2008, 08:57:40 AM
Ha ha. Now no one is happy with Mason-Dixon. Smiley

no, the lead is within the MOE, meaning it is a tossup.  Tossup seems correct to me.

That's ok... it doesn't mean that my half of this site is going to be happy with this poll. Within MOE or not, this is possibly the worst result Obama has gotten in Virginia from anyone in weeks.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2008, 09:11:22 AM »
Bush +6 at the same time in 2004. 

I'll take McCain up 3 right now according to the best pollster, and ahead according to most of the rest of them. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2008, 09:13:56 AM »
Quote from: brittain33 on September 24, 2008, 09:03:15 AM
Quote from: jmfcst on September 24, 2008, 09:02:12 AM
Quote from: brittain33 on September 24, 2008, 08:57:40 AM
Ha ha. Now no one is happy with Mason-Dixon. Smiley

no, the lead is within the MOE, meaning it is a tossup.  Tossup seems correct to me.

That's ok... it doesn't mean that my half of this site is going to be happy with this poll. Within MOE or not, this is possibly the worst result Obama has gotten in Virginia from anyone in weeks.

Nah. Check the RCP average for the state. This result is fine by me. It seems to confirm Rasmussen. The state is highly competitive but, if anything, leans slightly toward McCain.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2008, 09:14:03 AM »

He went on to win the state by 8.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2008, 10:08:05 AM »
I don't remember, but didn't Bush overperform the polls in VA?  Or is that NC?

Anyways, good news.  Today, I think Obama would take the state, but on election day, I think it will go to McCain.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2008, 10:15:28 AM »
Bush overperformed in both NC and VA. Polls had him up 4 in VA and 8 in NC on election day, and he won them by 8 and 13 respectively.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2008, 10:18:19 AM »
Quote from: Governor Duke, Dirty South on September 24, 2008, 10:15:28 AM
Bush overperformed in both NC and VA. Polls had him up 4 in VA and 8 in NC on election day, and he won them by 8 and 13 respectively.

So that's pretty nice to hear.  538.com states that VA will be at the national average, and I kind of distrust that.  I think it followed that SUSA poll that showed Obama+6 in VA.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2008, 10:23:22 AM »
Virginia was also a polled a lot less in 2004 than it is now.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2008, 10:35:22 AM »
anything that says anything lower than obama +6, i aint believing.
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Franzl
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2008, 10:37:40 AM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on September 24, 2008, 10:35:22 AM
anything that says anything lower than obama +6, i aint believing.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2008, 10:44:04 AM »
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2008, 10:47:16 AM »
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elcorazon
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2008, 10:48:12 AM »
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2008, 11:40:11 AM »
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2008, 11:43:10 AM »
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jmfcst
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2008, 11:45:35 AM »

dang, Walt must have struck a nerve.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2008, 12:09:16 PM »
you cant speak ill of the great one.
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Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
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« Reply #20 on: September 24, 2008, 12:11:31 PM »

how did Palin enter into this conversation?  are they blaming this poll on the shoes?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #21 on: September 24, 2008, 12:47:02 PM »


Bad days, guys? I guess you really wanted to win Virginia or something...
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Lunar
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« Reply #22 on: September 24, 2008, 12:58:26 PM »

Lots of people insult Obama on the forum.  But they don't do it through repetitive sarcastic remarks on every single thread (and that's not all they do).
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riceowl
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« Reply #23 on: September 24, 2008, 01:10:22 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on September 24, 2008, 12:47:02 PM


Bad days, guys? I guess you really wanted to win Virginia or something...

i imagine you do too...since (you know) if you don't, you're pretty well sunk.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #24 on: September 24, 2008, 01:12:50 PM »
Quote from: riceowl on September 24, 2008, 01:10:22 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on September 24, 2008, 12:47:02 PM


Bad days, guys? I guess you really wanted to win Virginia or something...

i imagine you do too...since (you know) if you don't, you're pretty well sunk.

Sure I do. The difference here is that my guy is winning.   Wink
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