NH-ARG: Good news for Obama

[Tender Branson]

Well, not really ...

McCain: 48%
Obama: 45%

The two candidates are dead even among independents at 45 percent each, with 2 percent preferring another candidate and 8 percent undecided. McCain leads among Republicans, 85 to 11 percent, while Obama leads among Democrats, 82 to 12 percent.

Men prefer McCain 58 to 36 percent while women prefer Obama, 54 to 38 percent. Obama leads among younger votes while McCain leads among older votes.

The poll of 600 likely voters was taken Sept. 13 to 15 and has a margin of error of 4 percent.

http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=John+DiStaso%27s+Granite+Status%3A+Polling+season+in+NH+opens+today&articleId=d15e277f-3c95-43e8-81c7-3820c70d5e17

[Tender Branson]

We should also consider this:

Late Sept. 2006 ARG poll: Lynch 59%, Republican 29%
Actual Result: Lynch 74%, Republican 26%

Mid-Sept. 2004 ARG poll: Bush 47%, Kerry 45%
Actual Result: Bush 49%, Kerry 50%