Obama leading by 3% in INDIANA!!! (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 12:35:59 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Obama leading by 3% in INDIANA!!! (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Obama leading by 3% in INDIANA!!!  (Read 16856 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: September 17, 2008, 11:39:33 PM »

The poll was done by Selzer & Co., who 538.com ranked as the most accurate pollster during the primary season:

538.com Pollster Rankings

Here is the Indianapolis Star writeup on the poll:

Link

It's easier to be the most accurate (and least accurate) when you only poll one primary (not a primary actually, but a caucus).

Indiana was a primary...?

Now that I'm looking it up, they did poll Indiana couple of weeks before the primary.  Had it as Obama +3 - barely within the MOE.

But what else did they poll, because a one-point miss in Iowa and a four-point miss in Indiana does not give me a 0.75 accuracy average.

They had an OK Michigan poll:

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2008R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620080111040

which showed Romney up by 5 (actual result: Romney wins by 9).  Better than the polls that actually had McCain winning, I guess.

Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.024 seconds with 14 queries.