Obama leading by 3% in INDIANA!!! (user search)
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  Obama leading by 3% in INDIANA!!! (search mode)
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Author Topic: Obama leading by 3% in INDIANA!!!  (Read 16894 times)
Sam Spade
SamSpade
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Posts: 27,547


« on: September 17, 2008, 10:29:45 PM »

Selzer again...
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2008, 10:45:12 PM »

The poll was done by Selzer & Co., who 538.com ranked as the most accurate pollster during the primary season:

538.com Pollster Rankings

Here is the Indianapolis Star writeup on the poll:

Link

It's easier to be the most accurate (and least accurate) when you only poll one primary (not a primary actually, but a caucus).
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
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Posts: 27,547


« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2008, 10:50:02 PM »

The poll was done by Selzer & Co., who 538.com ranked as the most accurate pollster during the primary season:

538.com Pollster Rankings

Here is the Indianapolis Star writeup on the poll:

Link

It's easier to be the most accurate (and least accurate) when you only poll one primary (not a primary actually, but a caucus).

Indiana was a primary...?

Now that I'm looking it up, they did poll Indiana couple of weeks before the primary.  Had it as Obama +3 - barely within the MOE.

But what else did they poll, because a one-point miss in Iowa and a four-point miss in Indiana does not give me a 0.75 accuracy average.
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2008, 08:59:06 AM »

The poll was done by Selzer & Co., who 538.com ranked as the most accurate pollster during the primary season:

538.com Pollster Rankings

Here is the Indianapolis Star writeup on the poll:

Link

It's easier to be the most accurate (and least accurate) when you only poll one primary (not a primary actually, but a caucus).

I know she does work for the Detroit Free Press in Michigan.  I've always heard very good things about Ann Selzer, but I do not believe this poll.

She does the polling for the Detroit Free Press?
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