NJ: Monmouth University: Obama Leads NJ by 8%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: New Jersey President by Monmouth University on 2008-09-14

Summary: D: 49%, R: 41%, I: 0%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

2. If the election for President was held today, would you vote for John McCain the Republican,

Barack Obama the Democrat, or some other candidate? [IF UNDECIDED: At this moment do

you lean more towards McCain or more towards Obama?] [NAMES WERE ROTATED]

PARTY ID GENDER AGE

(with leaners)

Registered

Voters

Likely

Voters Dem Ind Rep Male Female

18 to

34

35 to

54

55+

McCain 38% 41% 9% 37% 91% 46% 31% 30% 40% 42%

Obama 49% 49% 82% 38% 6% 45% 52% 54% 46% 47%

Other 2% 0% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1%

(VOL) Won’t vote 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1%

(VOL) Undecided 11% 10% 8% 19% 2% 7% 15% 14% 11% 9%

Unwtd N 689 589 263 235 171 318 371 126 251 301

TREND: September 2008 July 2008

Registered

Voters

Likely

Voters

Registered

Voters

Likely

Voters

McCain 38% 41% 34% 36%

Obama 49% 49% 48% 50%

Other 2% 0% 3% 2%

(VOL) Won’t vote 1% 0% 0% 0%

(VOL) Undecided 11% 10% 14% 12%

Unwtd N 689 589 874 698

Composite Table: Strength of Vote Choice

2 If the election for President was held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] John McCain the Republican,

Barack Obama the Democrat, or some other candidate?

3. At this moment do you lean more towards McCain or more towards Obama?

4. Are you very sure about voting for [Name]; or might you change your mind before Election Day?

TREND: September 2008 July 2008

Registered

Voters

Likely

Voters

Registered

Voters

Likely

Voters

Sure McCain 30% 33% 24% 28%

Weak McCain 3% 3% 4% 4%

Lean McCain 5% 5% 6% 5%

Undecided- Other 13% 10% 17% 13%

Lean Obama 6% 5% 6% 5%

Weak Obama 7% 6% 7% 7%

Sure Obama 36% 38% 36% 38%

Unwtd N 689 589 874 698

[Zarn]

This is the same pollster that had NJ at Obama +24 and +14 at different times.