Black Monday...
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 29, 2024, 03:40:17 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  Black Monday...
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6
Author Topic: Black Monday...  (Read 8674 times)
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,719


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: September 15, 2008, 02:01:31 AM »

If Obama can't take back the lead by the end of this week with this crap going on, it's kind of tough to see when he does it.

The debates will matter much more than this.
Logged
Citizen James
James42
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,540


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -2.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: September 15, 2008, 02:12:30 AM »

I think the people this matters most to have long since made up their minds.

Now if a number of companies get skittish at the troubles and start large scale layoffs that might have a serious effect on the election, otherwise I see a lot of media frenzy but not much voter shift.

In short, my magic 9-ball says 'no'.
Logged
Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,067
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -3.74, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: September 15, 2008, 02:24:50 AM »

2 long time Wall Street companies have vanished over the weekend.

The Dow Futures were down 344 points last I checked, the most I have ever seen.

Alan Greenspan says we are in a "once-in-a-century" financial crisis.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080915/financial_meltdown.html
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

That sounds like something out of the Great Depression. Its not very high unemployment this time (so far). I wonder if multiple large banks and firms collapsing can continue without there being huge effects on the economy. Are we going to see more bank runs, even though the money is guaranteed? We're in uncharted territory here.

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,745


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: September 15, 2008, 03:08:03 AM »

The economy really sucks, and I don't understand why McCain is still leading in the polls.

Because maybe Bush isn't 100% responsible for the faltering economy?

Your party has been in charge of the do-nothing congress for 2 years now, silly.

^^^

People here are vastly overestimating the influence the President has over the economy. The truth is it will rebound whether we elect Obama or McCain. And, the truth is that we aren't even in a recession. The economy grew 3.3% last quarter. Things are bad, but they aren't terrible. It always rebounds. The market will sort itself out.

Right, it's just a coincidence that there are more jobs, fewer recessions, and less debt under Democratic Presidents than Republican Presidents.

As for Congress, I would be a lot happier with them if they were a do-nothing Congress. Frankly, I don't see much difference between the 109th and 110th Congresses. Of course the Democratic control of the Senate is a total joke thanks to Lieberman, but you'd think Pelosi would at least act like a Democrat, let alone a San Francisco Democrat.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,517
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: September 15, 2008, 03:52:51 AM »

If Obama can't take back the lead by the end of this week with this crap going on, it's kind of tough to see when he does it.

The debates will matter much more than this.

I don't see him dominating the debates though.
Logged
exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: September 15, 2008, 04:10:19 AM »

The pessimism lately has gotten annoying...just fyi. The fact hes only down two [and in some instances hes up...but whatever] and the debates haven't even occurred yet should be enough to say not to give up yet.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,745


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: September 15, 2008, 04:17:49 AM »
« Edited: September 15, 2008, 04:20:13 AM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

If Obama can't take back the lead by the end of this week with this crap going on, it's kind of tough to see when he does it.

The debates will matter much more than this.

I don't see him dominating the debates though.

True, we can't count on the debates to save Obama. Bush only lost ground because he did absolutely horrendously beyond terrible in the first debate, and he still won the election anyways. There's no reason to suspect that McCain will have a Bush style meltdown.

But anyways, as I've been saying, it's the economy, stupid.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,745


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: September 15, 2008, 04:27:21 AM »

Bush isn't even good for the rich investor class.

S&P 500 when he took office: 1342.54
S&P 500 at the bell on Friday: 1251.70

That's a drop of 6.8% over the entire 7 2/3 years so far of the Bush administration, and that number is bound to be a bit worse after this Black Monday.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,517
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: September 15, 2008, 04:29:05 AM »

Are there already some media outlets calling this "Black Monday"?
Logged
MODU
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,023
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: September 15, 2008, 07:36:15 AM »


Today will definitely be a down day.  Will it be 300 points or 150 points will be the big question.  On the other hand, how the market handles the issue the rest of the week can play a bigger roll.  The government allowed the market to handle these two institutions unlike in the past month.  Bank of America is buying one and the market will absorb the remains of the other, just as a free market economy does for any other entity.  What I am liking is that the other banking institutions have agreed to announce plans on how they are going to improve their bottom lines by becoming even more transparent and diversified.  This jolt to the sector is shaking out a lot of dead wood and allowing the sector to regrow.  Get your checkbooks ready to buy some stocks.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,972


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: September 15, 2008, 08:35:10 AM »

It's okay.. Sarah Palin had a childhood friend with an interest in rare coins.  The market will be saved. [/snark]

I'd LOL, but there are some people who'd defend that. Her friend has a bank account! What do you mean she's unqualified?
Logged
ChrisFromNJ
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,742


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -8.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: September 15, 2008, 08:39:42 AM »

The DOW just took a huge fall from -100 to -270.
Logged
MODU
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,023
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: September 15, 2008, 08:40:59 AM »

The DOW just took a huge fall from -100 to -270.

The futures were trading down 337 points, so that wasn't unexpected.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: September 15, 2008, 08:45:06 AM »

It's actually looking at better outside of the DJIA, though I'm glad I only have $200 in Sovereign.
Logged
MODU
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,023
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: September 15, 2008, 08:59:54 AM »


Lehman Brothers has dropped to 30 cents/share while Merrill Lynch is up $4.33/share.  This is the way the market is suppose to work.
Logged
ChrisFromNJ
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,742


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -8.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: September 15, 2008, 09:58:18 AM »
« Edited: September 15, 2008, 10:00:35 AM by Go Yankees! »

The DOW is only down -180 right now. The market seems to be recovering nicely, on the back of a better than expected showing for Merrill Lynch's stock. 
Logged
Cubby
Pim Fortuyn
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,067
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -3.74, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: September 15, 2008, 10:35:54 AM »

Down 247 now, which is more than 100 points better than the futures were last night. So its bad, but not as bad as I thought.

Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: September 15, 2008, 10:44:17 AM »

Listen, Duke & Duke totally collapsed back in 1983 when Dan Aykroyd and Eddie Murphy received an advance copy of the orange crop report.  If Wall Street could survive that, it can survive this.
Logged
MODU
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,023
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: September 15, 2008, 10:49:16 AM »

Listen, Duke & Duke totally collapsed back in 1983 when Dan Aykroyd and Eddie Murphy received an advance copy of the orange crop report.  If Wall Street could survive that, it can survive this.

HAHAHA
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: September 15, 2008, 10:56:27 AM »

Listen, Duke & Duke totally collapsed back in 1983 when Dan Aykroyd and Eddie Murphy received an advance copy of the orange crop report.  If Wall Street could survive that, it can survive this.

Just watched it yesterday, use to work in the area (Viv worked in the coffee shop in the Rittenhouse Park scene) and was across the street from Duke and Duke Saturday for dinner with Sissy.
Logged
ChrisFromNJ
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,742


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -8.61

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: September 15, 2008, 10:58:20 AM »

The Dow is now down -315 as of noon.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,517
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: September 15, 2008, 11:00:55 AM »


That's not too good...
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #47 on: September 15, 2008, 11:25:16 AM »

I'm always skeptical of these doomsday Sunday scenarios. Let's wait and see what happens when the markets open tommorrow morning. I doubt it will be as bad as everybody makes it out to be, but make no mistake, we are in deep doo doo right now.

Noo... we're fine.  We just need to stop whining!  And let's throw in another tax cut for the rich while we're at it.

You got it my man. Trickle down economics works far better than that demand side crap, as proven by past track record.

I thought tax cuts skewed in favor of the wealthy were supposed to be some great panacea to economic ills? I wouldn't have thought it given the Republican record, overall, compared with that of Democratic administrations is poor when it comes to economic growth, rising prosperity (even the richest fare better in % terms under Democrats) and job creation

The economy really sucks, and I don't understand why McCain is still leading in the polls.

Because maybe Bush isn't 100% responsible for the faltering economy?

Your party has been in charge of the do-nothing congress for 2 years now, silly.

^^^

People here are vastly overestimating the influence the President has over the economy. The truth is it will rebound whether we elect Obama or McCain. And, the truth is that we aren't even in a recession. The economy grew 3.3% last quarter. Things are bad, but they aren't terrible. It always rebounds. The market will sort itself out.

Right, it's just a coincidence that there are more jobs, fewer recessions, and less debt under Democratic Presidents than Republican Presidents.

It's gotta be more than just coincidence

Dave
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #48 on: September 15, 2008, 11:28:40 AM »

I'm always skeptical of these doomsday Sunday scenarios. Let's wait and see what happens when the markets open tommorrow morning. I doubt it will be as bad as everybody makes it out to be, but make no mistake, we are in deep doo doo right now.

Noo... we're fine.  We just need to stop whining!  And let's throw in another tax cut for the rich while we're at it.

You got it my man. Trickle down economics works far better than that demand side crap, as proven by past track record.

I thought tax cuts skewed in favor of the wealthy were supposed to be some great panacea to economic ills? I wouldn't have thought it given the Republican record, overall, compared with that of Democratic administrations is poor when it comes to economic growth, rising prosperity (even the richest fare better in % terms under Democrats) and job creation

The economy really sucks, and I don't understand why McCain is still leading in the polls.

Because maybe Bush isn't 100% responsible for the faltering economy?

Your party has been in charge of the do-nothing congress for 2 years now, silly.

^^^

People here are vastly overestimating the influence the President has over the economy. The truth is it will rebound whether we elect Obama or McCain. And, the truth is that we aren't even in a recession. The economy grew 3.3% last quarter. Things are bad, but they aren't terrible. It always rebounds. The market will sort itself out.

Right, it's just a coincidence that there are more jobs, fewer recessions, and less debt under Democratic Presidents than Republican Presidents.

It's gotta be more than just coincidence

Dave

My statement was intended as sarcasm. Smiley
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #49 on: September 15, 2008, 11:42:13 AM »


Before we get too chicken little, that wouldn't even classify as the biggest one-day drop this month.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.051 seconds with 12 queries.