pragmatic liberal
Jr. Member
Posts: 520
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« on: September 05, 2008, 06:22:44 PM » |
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Clinton will be a frontrunner, and I think Mark Warner will run as well. However, it's possible Warner won't, since he backed out of a near-certain bid in '08.
And I think Obama *might* remain viable in 2012, although it will depend a lot on the manner of his defeat. If his loss is a surprise and looks like it's the result of racism, he could well make a credible repeat bid. At the state and local level, many first-time minority nominees lose and are renominated, coming back to win.
This scenario would be even more likely if Obama wins the popular vote but loses the electoral vote.
Still, I'd say Clinton is more likely to be the nominee. Really hard to foresee this far out, though. In September 2004, most people would have picked Hillary Clinton and George Allen as the likely nominees if George W. Bush won reelection.
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