That sample looks a lot like the 2004 election numbers in terms of party ID (slightly less partisan voting patterns). If that happens, this will likely be the result. Otherwise, adjust slightly - though it's not like it makes the end result much different.
Yep
Republican 51% (50%): McCain 84% (94%); Obama 13% (5%)
Democrat 29% (27%): McCain 22% (16%); Obama 73% (84%)
Independent 16% (23%): McCain 45% (52%); Obama 37% (46%)
Conservative 32% (38%): McCain 90% (88%); Obama 6% (10%)
Moderate 41% (48%): McCain 49% (54%); Obama 43% (45%)
Liberal 11% (14%): McCain 21% (22%); Obama 76% (76%)
(denotes 2004 exit poll data)
Dave
