NH: Rasmussen: Many cracks have appeared in a Kerry state
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  NH: Rasmussen: Many cracks have appeared in a Kerry state
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Author Topic: NH: Rasmussen: Many cracks have appeared in a Kerry state  (Read 4114 times)
Aizen
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« on: August 20, 2008, 04:15:47 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire President by Rasmussen on 2008-08-20

Summary: D: 47%, R: 46%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Reaganfan
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« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2008, 04:19:57 PM »

Looks like things are about to CHANGE
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Rowan
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« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2008, 04:26:37 PM »

Obama's lead is shrinking everywhere.

Implosion, I say.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2008, 04:35:05 PM »

Obama's lead is shrinking everywhere.

Implosion, I say.

Obama has gone from (sustained, he was higher at points) about +3 to about +0.5.  It's bad, very bad, for his campaign, but it's not an "implosion."
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2008, 04:36:39 PM »

I have never been one to believe that NH was a true toss up but...
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elcorazon
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« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2008, 04:41:34 PM »

Obama's lead is shrinking everywhere.

Implosion, I say.

Obama has gone from (sustained, he was higher at points) about +3 to about +0.5.  It's bad, very bad, for his campaign, but it's not an "implosion."
maybe not, but I think McCain is even or ahead at this point and likely to win.
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Rococo4
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« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2008, 05:03:00 PM »

I never thought Obama was up double digits here.  Still this one is gonna be a tough state for McCain to win at the end of the day despite his previous primary success there.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2008, 05:09:15 PM »

One thing I think that makes this state still a toss up is not only the fact that Obama is slipping nationwide, but that McCain has (for the last 8 years) had a great ground game in NH and it's the exact type of state where he appeals.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2008, 05:31:59 PM »

Good, good.  The state tilts toward Obama, but it's far from being out of play.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2008, 06:06:26 PM »

Good news. While I was inclined to believe that NH would be in the Dems column this year, I can't ignore McCain's close ties to this state. He's been called the state's third senator and his second home for a while. Polls are showing it getting closer and closer.
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #10 on: August 20, 2008, 06:14:20 PM »

I mean polls are retarded, everytime they had Obama winning nationally weeks ago it reflected in other polls even the sh**tty ones, now McCain seems to have a bounce and it reflects nationally something is not right here.
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Lunar
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« Reply #11 on: August 20, 2008, 06:21:11 PM »

NH: Rasmussen: Many cracks have appeared in a Kerry state

Is that a "Granite State" joke?  I hope so.
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DownWithTheLeft
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« Reply #12 on: August 20, 2008, 06:26:27 PM »

Might end up in the McCain column as could a handful of other Kerry states once the GOP rips Obama a new one post-conventions
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Gustaf
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« Reply #13 on: August 20, 2008, 06:27:17 PM »

Obama's lead is shrinking everywhere.

Implosion, I say.

Obama has gone from (sustained, he was higher at points) about +3 to about +0.5.  It's bad, very bad, for his campaign, but it's not an "implosion."
maybe not, but I think McCain is even or ahead at this point and likely to win.

Seriously? That sounds a bit mano-depressive to me, given how optimistic you used to be...lighten up, I still hold Obama as the favourite. Wink

If this poll is spot-on, McCain is ahead nationally. So I suspect it's off by a point or two. But the race is pretty much tied now, nationally, I'm pretty sure of that.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #14 on: August 20, 2008, 06:35:55 PM »

Obama's lead is shrinking everywhere.

Implosion, I say.

Obama has gone from (sustained, he was higher at points) about +3 to about +0.5.  It's bad, very bad, for his campaign, but it's not an "implosion."
maybe not, but I think McCain is even or ahead at this point and likely to win.

Seriously? That sounds a bit mano-depressive to me, given how optimistic you used to be...lighten up, I still hold Obama as the favourite. Wink

If this poll is spot-on, McCain is ahead nationally. So I suspect it's off by a point or two. But the race is pretty much tied now, nationally, I'm pretty sure of that.

I'm getting close to making that conclusion, but not yet...
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #15 on: August 20, 2008, 06:36:06 PM »

Obama will win here in NH.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #16 on: August 20, 2008, 06:38:28 PM »

I'm going to be killed for making the obvious pun...but I have to...

Obama can't take New Hampshire for granite.

(runs)
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Sbane
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« Reply #17 on: August 20, 2008, 07:12:00 PM »

I think NH is going to be about the national average this year and polls have tightened here as well as the whole country.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #18 on: August 20, 2008, 07:17:30 PM »

     NH is a state where I have been very pessimistic about McCain's chances. I won't believe that McCain has a prayer at winning this state until he does. The issues that people there care about are stacked impossibly heavily against McCain.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #19 on: August 20, 2008, 08:38:04 PM »

I'll wait until I see McCain leading in a NH poll to get excited, and then I'll consider it a possiblility to flip GOP.  Yeah, the Dems did great here in 2006, but they did great everywhere across the board. Bush and Kerry carried the state by the same razor thin margin in 2000 and 2004, so it's not hard to see why polls here are so close.
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Vsanto5
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« Reply #20 on: August 21, 2008, 12:39:35 AM »

Might end up in the McCain column as could a handful of other Kerry states once the GOP rips Obama a new one post-conventions

As if the GOP hasn't pulled out all the stops thus far, I mean what other info are they going to uncover to rip him a new one?
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #21 on: August 21, 2008, 12:41:50 AM »

One thing I think that makes this state still a toss up is not only the fact that Obama is slipping nationwide, but that McCain has (for the last 8 years) had a great ground game in NH and it's the exact type of state where he appeals.

McCain's been here for eight years?
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opebo
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« Reply #22 on: August 21, 2008, 05:22:02 AM »

I still think Obama has a chance at this state as racism should be less of a factor here than in the other swing states.  However New Hampshirites are the sort to be easily taken in by McCain's non-Southern/non-religious act.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #23 on: August 21, 2008, 09:07:48 AM »
« Edited: August 21, 2008, 10:08:45 AM by elcorazon »

Obama's lead is shrinking everywhere.

Implosion, I say.

Obama has gone from (sustained, he was higher at points) about +3 to about +0.5.  It's bad, very bad, for his campaign, but it's not an "implosion."
maybe not, but I think McCain is even or ahead at this point and likely to win.
Seriously? That sounds a bit mano-depressive to me, given how optimistic you used to be...lighten up, I still hold Obama as the favourite. Wink

If this poll is spot-on, McCain is ahead nationally. So I suspect it's off by a point or two. But the race is pretty much tied now, nationally, I'm pretty sure of that.
I haven't been optimistic since the Wright story broke.  You must be confusing me with someone else.  This country is too stupid to vote for a black guy that they fear.  And once the Republicans are done drumming their message into the public, with the help of the MSM, Obama will struggle to carry many of the swing states he had been leading in.  I look for McCain to win, and for this country to continue into the sh**tter.

Seemed like a good idea, till greed got in the way.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #24 on: August 21, 2008, 10:05:34 AM »

dont worry obama supporters.

we havent seen a north dakota poll lately.
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