GA: Rasmussen: McCain in serious trouble in Georgia
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Author Topic: GA: Rasmussen: McCain in serious trouble in Georgia  (Read 1869 times)
Aizen
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« on: August 18, 2008, 04:17:52 PM »
« edited: August 18, 2008, 04:21:43 PM by Aizen »
New Poll: Georgia President by Rasmussen on 2008-08-14

Summary: D: 44%, R: 53%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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elcorazon
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2008, 04:21:10 PM »
uh, no that is NOT RIGHT. McCain is up 50-43.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2008, 04:21:47 PM »
What's it going to take to get a poll out of Indiana?
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2008, 04:22:06 PM »
Quote from: elcorazon on August 18, 2008, 04:21:10 PM
uh, no that is NOT RIGHT. McCain is up 50-43.

Leaners, dude.

Quote from: Eraserhead on August 18, 2008, 04:21:47 PM
What's it going to take to get a poll out of Indiana?

Rasmussen says he'll have one in the field relatively soon.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2008, 04:22:40 PM »
The polls in the database are the leaner polls, not the non-leaner polls, fwiw.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #5 on: August 18, 2008, 04:31:29 PM »
he had it wrong initially. had the dems up 53-40 or something like that.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #6 on: August 18, 2008, 04:36:35 PM »
Would it be too much to ask for the topic lines of these things to be at least somewhat grounded in reality?
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #7 on: August 18, 2008, 04:55:23 PM »
How is this "serious trouble"?
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #8 on: August 18, 2008, 04:56:56 PM »

it's a joke.  Aizen has displayed a penchant for comical poll titles throughout his career.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: August 18, 2008, 05:00:08 PM »
Quote from: © Text Message Generation on August 18, 2008, 04:56:56 PM

it's a joke.  Aizen has displayed a penchant for comical poll titles throughout his career.

I'm not sure I find incorrect to be synonymous with funny.
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agcatter
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« Reply #10 on: August 18, 2008, 05:01:16 PM »
Time for Obama to throw another 2.5 million into the state.  Keep spending Barky.  Georgia is a swing state you know.
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #11 on: August 18, 2008, 05:01:45 PM »
Quote from: © Text Message Generation on August 18, 2008, 04:56:56 PM
it's a joke.  Aizen has displayed a penchant for comical poll titles throughout his career.

I suppose it would have comedic value were we discussing, say, Kentucky, but a nine-point margin in a state that Obama was contesting as recently as a few weeks ago isn't outrageous enough to invite hyperbole, IMHO.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2008, 05:03:19 PM »
Quote from: Nutmeg on August 18, 2008, 05:01:45 PM
Quote from: © Text Message Generation on August 18, 2008, 04:56:56 PM
it's a joke.  Aizen has displayed a penchant for comical poll titles throughout his career.

I suppose it would have comedic value were we discussing, say, Kentucky, but a nine-point margin in a state that Obama was contesting as recently as a few weeks ago isn't outrageous enough to invite hyperbole, IMHO.

you can take that up with Aizen the next time you see him.  I am just voicing my interpretation of the issue at hand.
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2008, 05:04:13 PM »
Quote from: agcatter on August 18, 2008, 05:01:16 PM
Time for Obama to throw another 2.5 million into the state.  Keep spending Barky.  Georgia is a swing state you know.

Barky.....

Really?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2008, 06:37:12 PM »
Quote from: © Text Message Generation on August 18, 2008, 04:56:56 PM

it's a joke.  Aizen has displayed a penchant for comical poll titles throughout his career.
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Beet
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« Reply #15 on: August 18, 2008, 07:16:55 PM »
Down 9 is not that bad for Obama, actually. If the leaners number is correct, he is already doing 2.6% better than Kerry without getting any undecideds.
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #16 on: August 18, 2008, 08:15:36 PM »
More African American voters + about the same number of whites = 44%

It is just implausible to see Obama getting much higher, as the leaners show. It was never considered impossible that Obama could get into the 40s in SC, GA, MS. It was just that it was impossible for him to get above 45% or so.
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Beet
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« Reply #17 on: August 18, 2008, 08:20:21 PM »
Quote from: dantheroman on August 18, 2008, 08:15:36 PM
More African American voters + about the same number of whites = 44%

It is just implausible to see Obama getting much higher, as the leaners show. It was never considered impossible that Obama could get into the 40s in SC, GA, MS. It was just that it was impossible for him to get above 45% or so.

Actually, what makes Georgia interesting was the relatively higher percentage of the white vote that voted for him in the primaries. In that way GA is fundamentally different from SC and MS. It has a major metropolitan area, whereas SC and MS do not.

There is no way that African-Americans alone could increase the percentage from Kerry's 41.3% to 44% since swing is not really a factor among blacks, only increase in turnout is a factor.

With a 53-44 spread and absolute undecideds remaining at 9, there is good reason to believe Obama could get in the 45, 46 percent range.
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Aizen
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« Reply #18 on: August 18, 2008, 08:20:33 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Moderate, President on August 18, 2008, 04:36:35 PM
Would it be too much to ask for the topic lines of these things to be at least somewhat grounded in reality?


Yes. Should you continue to whine more, I will make them even less grounded in reality. Like, I'll make them in Elvish or something.
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