FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44 (user search)
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  FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44  (Read 2207 times)
Verily
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E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: August 04, 2008, 07:23:39 PM »
« edited: August 04, 2008, 07:30:17 PM by Verily »

No way McCain does better among women than men.

Also, I don't think McCain can win by six if he's losing among Hispanics by six.  The race numbers must be off.

Something's definitely screwy there. McCain marginally improves on Bush's white numbers (57R-38D against 2004's 58R-42D) but loses enormous ground among Hispanics (42R-48D against 2004's 56R-44D), yet leads by more than Bush did. Blacks don't explain it, either; the 2004 result was 13R-86D while this poll has the only marginally better for McCain 16R-84D.

I'm not sure what that means.

Edit: Link to 2004 exits

Also worth noting that partisan numbers are essentially unchanged from 2004 (43R-38D against 41R-37D in 2004), which sort of runs counter to the usual paradigm. Doesn't mean it's wrong, of course.

Florida interesting fact: It's the only state where Kerry did better among those identifying as "suburban" than among those identifying as "urban" (Cuban effect, obviously).
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