FL: Survey USA sez McCain 50, Obama 44

[agcatter]

The first indication that McCain must be up in the state is when McCain doesn't even bother to spend a penny to answer $5,000,000 worth of Obama ads over the last 7 wks.

No campaign would fail to answer an opponent's ad blitze if they wern't sitting pretty decent in their internal polling.

[agcatter]

Campaigns don't release their internal polling.  However, one can get a glimpse as to what those polls are saying by looking at the $$ spent by each campaign.  Obama has spent over 5 million in campaign ads alone in Florida since the beginning of June thru July 27th.  McCain has spent ZERO.

That should tell you all you need to know.

[agcatter]

If you want to see how competitive a state is look at the amount of money both sides dump into it.  Especially when it is such a must win for McCain.

[agcatter]

Florida is to McCain what Pennsylvania is to Obama.

McCain loses Florida =  McCain toast

Obama loses Pennsylvania = Obama toast

Both should be reasonably close but both candidates should hold serve.  The fact that McCain isn't spending at all in Florida indicates that, as of now at least, the campaign thinks it is going to do well there.

I suspect Obama's massive spending there is more than just a head fake.  They really do want to try and bring the state in play.  When McCain starts spending there I'll believe they are making some headway.

BTW, Obama has spent the following on media ads in June and July:

NC  --  Obama 2 million, McCain 0
Ga  --  Obama 2 million, McCain  0
Ind --  Obama 1.5 mill ,  McCain 0
Mt  --  Obama 134,000, McCain 0
Ak --   Obama  88,000,  McCain 0
ND -    Obama (I forget how much) McCain 0

In fact, the only red states that McCain has spent $$ on are Virginia and Mo.

Follow the money.  Despite all the hype we heard about Obama "expanding the playing field" and all, and it's obvious by his spending that he's been trying, McCain's spending tells me they feel the only real threat is Mo and Va.  The rest is just big talk cranked out by Obama mouthpieces like the NYT, Washington Post and Newsweek.

Follow the money.

[agcatter]

The 2,00,000 spent so far in Georgia IS a head fake IMO.

[agcatter]

Who said they "were a model polling organization"?