MS Sen - Rasmussen: Wicker expands lead
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  MS Sen - Rasmussen: Wicker expands lead
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Author Topic: MS Sen - Rasmussen: Wicker expands lead  (Read 2749 times)
MarkWarner08
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« Reply #25 on: August 01, 2008, 05:20:29 PM »

Musgrove's name ID is 100%? I don't think so. What about all the new voters Obama's campaign has been registering. Many are in the 18-24 age group. These voters may not have formed a view of Musgrove, who has been out of office for five years.

That's a rather astute analogy. Musgrove, like Ford, has personal baggage. Musgrove, like Corker, must introduce himself to the over 2/3 of the state's electorate. Unlike Corker, Wicker will not have an (R) at the end of his name.
Well no obviously it's not 100%, but the vast majority of voters have heard of Musgrove and remember him being governor.  Also, Wicker is the one who has to introduce himself to the state, not Musgrove.  Musgrove simply has to not let Wicker's attacks bog him down (I already hear attack ads on the radio often).

Also, the lack of an (R) next to Wicker's name is going to hurt him, not help him, barring Obama winning the election with 60%+ of the PV, and enough EV's to win Mississippi by several % points.
Wicker's name rec. is rising, which is directly correlated with his soaring poll numbers.  The party ID issue is still a huge unknown. Let's wait a few months to see how it plays out. I suspect it won't be as one-sided as you may think.
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Badlands17
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« Reply #26 on: August 01, 2008, 08:45:39 PM »

MS-B will likely be the closest result this cycle, but if I had to choose, I'd guess Wicker will take the win. No telling if a repeat of MS-1 will happen though.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #27 on: August 04, 2008, 08:28:50 PM »

Why are so many people around here under the impression that Musgrove is going to win this race? I think he'll do well, but I can't see him winning it. I just noticed on the site prediction maps that Mississippi is almost red.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #28 on: August 04, 2008, 09:26:07 PM »
« Edited: August 04, 2008, 11:38:42 PM by MarkWarner08 »

Why are so many people around here under the impression that Musgrove is going to win this race? I think he'll do well, but I can't see him winning it. I just noticed on the site prediction maps that Mississippi is almost red.
Sam Spade, aka "Mr. Caution," has stressed numerous times that trusting electoral predictions  made in summer is foolhardy. I give Wicker a slight, but solid advantage over Musgrove.

Edit: My first post made no sense.
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