And VA, CO, NV, and FL could also switch.
Uh...NO!
Anyhow, Gephardt picks up Missouri and Iowa. As for Ohio, it's still a tossup state which Bush wins in the end. Bush also gains New Hampshire, which only went for Kerry based off of former MA voters in the Grantie State.
In the end, Bush is reelected. I'm not convinced that anyone could defeat Bush in 2004. Voters were not going to "swap horses in mid stream" especially during the Iraq War.
Bush: 272
Gephardt: 266
Bush wins the popular vote by a million votes.