LOL, Obama leads by 9 in Portland? No way.
Well, their definition of Portland is ridiculous. Kerry won it by 11.7% while losing "Rest of State" by 9.4%.
It fits a 3% lead. Not that I seriously think Obama leads Oregon by only 3%. Lol summer polling.
I thought he carried Multnomah county by 45 points or so?
Well, Portland isn't actually equal to Multnomah County, and even if it were, Multnomah County isn't 64% of Oregon, as SUSA's sample is.
SUSA's "Portland" somehow manages to include not only the suburbs, but also the northern Pacific beaches, Salem and parts of the eastern Oregon plains (). It's terrible naming.
Oh, I guess that's why. Thanks for clarifying.