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  Talk Elections
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  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4%
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Author Topic: IA: Survey USA: Obama ahead of McCain by 4%  (Read 776 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« on: June 19, 2008, 07:48:31 pm »

New Poll: Iowa President by Survey USA on 2008-06-22

Summary: D: 49%, R: 45%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2008, 08:04:49 pm »

And Obama continues to lead in every poll taken in Iowa this election season.
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True Democrat
true democrat
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« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2008, 08:05:33 pm »

Because clearly McCain leads among blacks 55-45 (while losing Hispanics and whites. . .)

Fukcing subsamples.
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True Democrat
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« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2008, 08:07:15 pm »

It also seems that McCain is doing unusually well in SE Iowa, though I have to wonder what is designated as SE Iowa.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2008, 08:45:18 pm »

A decent result for McCain. I still think his chances of actually winning it are... slim.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2008, 08:46:22 pm »

Any chance the flooding had any effect on the outcome of this poll?
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2008, 09:20:08 pm »

Weird party ID numbers.  Very weird.  Adjusted to SurveyUSA's party identification numbers from last month, this poll is Obama +16.  I have trouble believing that Democrats have a one-point registration advantage, which would be only a three-point swing from 2004.  Fishy.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2008, 09:30:00 pm »

Any chance the flooding had any effect on the outcome of this poll?

I'm not certain what partisan impact it would have had (although Cedar Rapids, at least, is solidly Democratic), but I certainly wouldn't have conducted a poll in Iowa right now were I a pollster.
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Aizen
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« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2008, 09:35:42 pm »

Deplorable. Conducting an interview in the midst of severe flooding. SurveyUSA should be ashamed.
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #9 on: June 20, 2008, 10:04:18 am »

Deplorable. Conducting an interview in the midst of severe flooding. SurveyUSA should be ashamed.

In the sense that results are very likely to be wrong because a large percentage of the population is displaced, not any moral responsibility.
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