GA: Insider Advantage: McCain leads Georgia by 1%

[Alcon]

New Poll: Georgia President by Insider Advantage on 2008-06-22

Summary: D: 43%, R: 44%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Alcon]

Sorry, accidentally created a new thread.  Oh well.

Stingy sample size, and all-around questionable to me (even if Insider Advantage is a GA pollster, it's not a very good one, IIRC)

[Sam Spade]

Sorry, accidentally created a new thread.  Oh well.

Stingy sample size, and all-around questionable to me (even if Insider Advantage is a GA pollster, it's not a very good one, IIRC)

o rly?

[Verily]

Sorry, accidentally created a new thread.  Oh well.

Stingy sample size, and all-around questionable to me (even if Insider Advantage is a GA pollster, it's not a very good one, IIRC)

They did all right in the Georgia gubernatorial race in 2006, even though that race wasn't remotely competitive (final poll R+24, result R+20). Then they were pretty bad in the Democratic primary across the board, always heavily in Clinton's favor (which indicates they might have been weighting for GE racial turnout in the primaries or something similarly stupid). Obviously, I'm wary, but if internal polls are showing numbers like these, at least it explains why the Obama and McCain campaigns seem to think Georgia is competitive.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

No way.

[Wiz in Wis]

In the words of Col Tigh/John McCain... "Whoa... Whoa whoa whoa..."

[bgwah]

I dunno, Georgia seems like one of those "McCain wins unless he's caught raping a child" states to me...

In the words of Col Tigh/John McCain... "Whoa... Whoa whoa whoa..."

Col Tigh is way cooler than John McCain.

[Eraserhead]

I guess we know why he put ads up now anyway...

[Josh/Devilman88]

OK? Well, Rasy needs to come out with a new GA poll.

[Democratic Hawk]

I'd like to see a race of it in GA; but I'd need to several pollsters show a competitive race of it post-conventions to even begin to think McCain has a fight on his hands

Is Barr likely to receive significant support in GA at around 6% or will it erode further?

Dave

[Aizen]

Georgia is officially in the swing state column.

[ottermax]

Way too close. Maybe it will be closer than usual, but I doubt it.

[War on Want]

I have come to an official conclusion: ignore summer polling!

[Flying Dog]

I have come to an official conclusion: ignore summer polling!

Smart. But it's just so beautiful.

[Verily]

I'd like to see a race of it in GA; but I'd need to several pollsters show a competitive race of it post-conventions to even begin to think McCain has a fight on his hands

Is Barr likely to receive significant support in GA at around 6% or will it erode further?

Dave

I would imagine it depends somewhat on how he campaigns. 6% would not be unreasonable as a final result for Barr in Georgia, but it's at the higher end of what I would expect. Georgia is not, after all, a particularly Libertarian-friendly state. Its neighbors, except for Florida, are likely to be among Barr's worst performances.

[© tweed]

I have come to an official conclusion: ignore summer polling!

no, don't.  it provides entertainment, which is what we all really are here for.  participate in illusions or you'll never get through the day.  life is full of illusions.  summer polling is the least of them.  so saddle up and play along until Labor Day.

[War on Want]

I have come to an official conclusion: ignore summer polling!

Smart. But it's just so beautiful.

I agree but lots of it is also trash that hurts your eyes.(look at Iowa, Colorado and Florida polling, with Obama's current margins that is eeew)

[HardRCafé]

In the words of Col Tigh/John McCain... "Whoa... Whoa whoa whoa..."

Insider Advantage has been wiorthless since the head of Insider Advantage came out for Ron Paul awhile ago and has been arguing ever since Ron Paul will cost the Republicans the election.

I would trust Michelle Obama anecdotal evidence more.

[Torie]

If Georgia is close, McCain might as well pack it in, unless the Yankee and secular middle to upper middle class vote outside the Southeast and the Bible belt swings substantially to McCain. And then we end up with 1976 redux. I doubt that will happen.

[Padfoot]

Georgia is officially in the swing state column.

lol, I hope that was sarcasm.  Georgia still has a long way to go before it can be called anything close to a swing state.  I'd wait until another 2 pollsters show it within the MOE before I'm willing to jump on that bandwagon.

I do think its a good idea for Obama to runs ads here and in some of the other unconventional places though as long as he has the cash.  Not only does it make McCain nervous about states that should be squarely in his column, but also it increases Democratic turnout which should help in downballot races.

[agcatter]

Wow, since Rasmussen's last poll (6-4) showing McCain up double digits Obama is now dead even in Georgia.  Fun watching Obamiacs wet their pants over a trash poll.

[StateBoiler]

I'd like to see a race of it in GA; but I'd need to several pollsters show a competitive race of it post-conventions to even begin to think McCain has a fight on his hands

Is Barr likely to receive significant support in GA at around 6% or will it erode further?

Dave

I would imagine it depends somewhat on how he campaigns. 6% would not be unreasonable as a final result for Barr in Georgia, but it's at the higher end of what I would expect. Georgia is not, after all, a particularly Libertarian-friendly state. Its neighbors, except for Florida, are likely to be among Barr's worst performances.

The South is probably the least friendly region in the country to third parties, Southern reactionary candidates such as Strom Thurmond and George Wallace notwithstanding.

[Verily]

I'd like to see a race of it in GA; but I'd need to several pollsters show a competitive race of it post-conventions to even begin to think McCain has a fight on his hands

Is Barr likely to receive significant support in GA at around 6% or will it erode further?

Dave

I would imagine it depends somewhat on how he campaigns. 6% would not be unreasonable as a final result for Barr in Georgia, but it's at the higher end of what I would expect. Georgia is not, after all, a particularly Libertarian-friendly state. Its neighbors, except for Florida, are likely to be among Barr's worst performances.

The South is probably the least friendly region in the country to third parties, Southern reactionary candidates such as Strom Thurmond and George Wallace notwithstanding.

Certainly true. Too much partisan ingrainment and tribal voting.

[Ronnie]

It's not this close.  IA has been way off this primary season, so I'm not so worried.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

I'd like to see a race of it in GA; but I'd need to several pollsters show a competitive race of it post-conventions to even begin to think McCain has a fight on his hands

Is Barr likely to receive significant support in GA at around 6% or will it erode further?

Dave

I would imagine it depends somewhat on how he campaigns. 6% would not be unreasonable as a final result for Barr in Georgia, but it's at the higher end of what I would expect. Georgia is not, after all, a particularly Libertarian-friendly state. Its neighbors, except for Florida, are likely to be among Barr's worst performances.

The South is probably the least friendly region in the country to third parties, Southern reactionary candidates such as Strom Thurmond and George Wallace notwithstanding.

Very true; Perot failed to get 20% in any Southern state, excluding Texas.