It won't be 2004 forever.
I know it won't. I was expecting Obama to underperform Kerry, not a repeat of 2004.
I was kinda joking. That's been a running theme around here. I agree with you though. I thought Kentucky was trending to the right and that Obama's not a great fit for the state. That said, it's a state with some Democratic roots, that aren't fully gone, a poor economy that could benefit Democrats, and one that has shown a willingness to vote Democratic in other statewide races, so... you never know.
I'd expect McCain wins by 15 points, personally.